South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe53537aab74b35b0f4f318c544251acc94cfcc64b8af19bb5de6bece89e2e142
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9857…a505backed Over | 0c | 9,015$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 25 | 12%3 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.98 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 3,792$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,458.49 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 1c | 2,108$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Over | 1c | 1,745$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 1c | 1,714$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 1c | 1,680$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,397$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.3 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 1c | 1,383$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 39c | 1,109$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.75 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over | 17c | 714$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.38 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 60c | 691.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 60c | 490.37$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Over | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 196 | 59.7%117 W · 79 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 207$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.94 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 61c | 192.56$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…84d1backed Under | 56c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 86.05$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Under | 59c | 84.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Under | 62c | 83.11$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Under | 61c | 81$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 145 | 35.9%52 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…132ebacked Over | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 46c | 55.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 42c | 53.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Under | 60c | 51.67$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 41c | 36.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 59c | 33.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Under | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 82 | 63.4%52 W · 30 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 41c | 25.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Under | 62c | 23.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa770…24a6backed Under | 60c | 17.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 3.5Under won
- CA Lanús vs. LDU de Quito: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-1.5)LDU de Quito won
- Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)LDU de Quito won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.