Asian League · resolved market
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98ac17dffc77c8fb4d6f6c9fbcb21ad03bba543eb1a66566ac3be5c06ad9ad02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,929
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,372
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,929 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 2,100$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.67 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 1,825$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.05 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 49c | 1,207$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.49 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…ef30backed Under | 58c | 843.49$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 72c | 546.22$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.28 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbffd…38f6backed Over | 37c | 481.1$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 42c | 328.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.71 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 35c | 305.72$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.66 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Over | 46c | 284.59$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.62 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…e01bbacked Over | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 61c | 200.84$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.73 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 65c | 169.43$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.83 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 148.18$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 106.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Under | 54c | 72.03$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 50.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 58c | 50.42$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6df…e2aabacked Over | 45c | 42.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Under | 48c | 36.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 72c | 34.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 33.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be0…6deebacked Under | 32c | 31.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.42 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a1…ea66backed Over | 44c | 30.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Over | 42c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 60c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 60c | 19.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.96 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 19.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.16 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 72c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Under | 63c | 16.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5)Qingdao Xihaian FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.