TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Asian League · resolved market

V-Varen Nagasaki vs. Gamba Ōsaka: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,195
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,885

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,195 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Asian League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x09d4…5f81backed Over36c9,290$3,386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,385.882544%11 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38f0…2768backed Over49c7,720$3,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,782.953650%18 W · 18 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3102…187cbacked Under49c6,546$3,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,356.662035%7 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-37.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.994334.9%15 W · 28 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0a2…40d5backed Over52c2,615$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,359.682360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c2,547$1,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,041.265,94646.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L+50.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Over51c2,036$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.549246.7%43 W · 49 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0006248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under51c1,600$816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78418353%97 W · 86 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under51c1,200$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58812050%60 W · 60 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x840d…3708backed Under64c1,154$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.385100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under67c960.69$639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.8296846.1%446 W · 522 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46cf…42eabacked Over55c824.43$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.44922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.26per pick48cpaid-58.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over25c749.99$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.54717%8 W · 39 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under51c700$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34313154.2%71 W · 60 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under45c676.72$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$368.851,76450.2%886 W · 878 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Under75c656.67$493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.179756.7%55 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb408…e303backed Over30c639.81$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.881450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under51c600$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29417247.1%81 W · 91 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under64c540.38$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1921,52254.9%835 W · 687 L+5.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under48c499.97$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9812250%61 W · 61 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f2…dab4backed Over51c380.63$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.12825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-52.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over42c328.98$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9114429.2%42 W · 102 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under52c321.42$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.2134558.6%202 W · 143 L+0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Over55c307.47$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.111650%8 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+36.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Under49c300$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15418543.8%81 W · 104 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x016c…df21backed Over36c300$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082040%8 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over51c299.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1538435.7%30 W · 54 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Over51c294.11$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over24c275.26$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.421,06342%446 W · 617 L-12.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under78c249.93$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.99475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Over55c246.17$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.391631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9816152.2%84 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9821152.1%110 W · 101 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9814453.5%77 W · 67 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Over48c196.94$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.536060%36 W · 24 L+5.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Over33c189.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.460%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over52c186.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.62850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over31c185.79$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.191,35645.5%617 W · 739 L+15.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe062…4907backed Under51c183.44$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.896457.8%37 W · 27 L+10.9wins+0.17per pick41cpaid+51.4%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Over54c180.07$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.241118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.33per pick51cpaid-66.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under51c180$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.215454.5%84 W · 70 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Under55c175.55$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.2247860.3%288 W · 190 L+15.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under48c172.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9618353.6%98 W · 85 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.412652.4%66 W · 60 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.415050.7%76 W · 74 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under51c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.414452.1%75 W · 69 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under79c125.82$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4289245%401 W · 491 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under50c116.94$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.971,22150.2%613 W · 608 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Over34c112.99$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4238737.5%145 W · 242 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4918256%102 W · 80 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4914953.7%80 W · 69 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over46c99.6$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.538363.9%53 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over36c96.81$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.8529745.1%134 W · 163 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over48c82.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.5340448%194 W · 210 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2232560.3%196 W · 129 L+20.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xea3d…2e9dbacked Under64c78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.082560%15 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ed…b7adbacked Over55c70.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under51c70$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.38250%41 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under70c64.19$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.34459.1%26 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under48c63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.7614351.7%74 W · 69 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c3d…3681backed Under80c61.75$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.352290.9%20 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.14per pick77cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under75c60.72$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3532457.1%185 W · 139 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.416154.7%88 W · 73 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.412951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under48c54.12$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3211764.1%75 W · 42 L+11.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1683…e4abbacked Over54c54.02$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.174045%18 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over44c49.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5177056.2%433 W · 337 L+40.8wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over43c48.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.782161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over52c46.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.276955.1%38 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x44b8…a2d7backed Over48c40.37$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3811841.5%49 W · 69 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.616255.6%90 W · 72 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under51c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.617953.6%96 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed Under67c38.89$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.865162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Under50c38.8$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.418646.2%86 W · 100 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d3…aafbbacked Over44c38.24$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.751711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.7wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-82.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under51c37.85$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5515549%76 W · 79 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Under60c36.75$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.724162.2%150 W · 91 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over52c34$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.581,97054.4%1,071 W · 899 L+32.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under51c33.78$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.558256.1%46 W · 36 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf787…7b27backed Over52c32.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.92666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Under51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.714349.7%71 W · 72 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Over52c28.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.633951.3%20 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under51c26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7410945.9%50 W · 59 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked Under69c25.66$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8814247.2%67 W · 75 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xea97…a471backed Under61c24.01$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.371050%5 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a03…279abacked Under58c22.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.39650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b67…829fbacked Under68c21.84$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.065352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-10.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Under77c20.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.728253.5%151 W · 131 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.89147.3%43 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bcd…ac63backed Under57c17.71$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.553083.3%25 W · 5 L+6.0wins+0.20per pick63cpaid+30.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.