Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x352025e91a79bb39a9d8c8205286236c8c007ec58f57bd791bb2c5b9ea584853
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 3,458$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.88 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Over | 57c | 2,000$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 35c | 1,735$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.35 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 78c | 1,640$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.14 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 74cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 36c | 1,343$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Over | 60c | 1,104$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.16 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 941.86$563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.9 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 49c | 581.63$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 16c | 442.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.88 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Under | 10c | 442.03$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.33 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 35c | 342.41$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.91 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 72c | 258.76$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 66 | 92.4%61 W · 5 L | +17.8wins | +0.27per pick | 65cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 33c | 229.96$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.03 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 74c | 168.94$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.93 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb7b…1476backed Over | 52c | 160.94$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 57cpaid | +50%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 18c | 154.51$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed Over | 65c | 144.52$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 52c | 127.24$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.85 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 34c | 110.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Over | 64c | 100.97$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.35 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 70c | 88.37$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Under | 48c | 83.46$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 62c | 75.43$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x95ed…b7adbacked Over | 52c | 74.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 52c | 68.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 65c | 68.27$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.23 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Over | 53c | 64.16$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec1…3f7bbacked Under | 36c | 64.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 77cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 60c | 58.29$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.31 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 48c | 53.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 61c | 49.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 53c | 44.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 43.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 213 | 67.6%144 W · 69 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 48c | 41.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6663…fa4fbacked Under | 27c | 41.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Over | 55c | 39.98$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 54c | 33.84$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 324 | 57.1%185 W · 139 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 27.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0664…f7f0backed Over | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 45c | 26.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfe…0741backed Under | 43c | 25.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked Under | 49c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 22.94$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Under | 49c | 22.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 59c | 21.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Over | 52c | 19.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.