Asian League · resolved market
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf300711d072357b2de4527837b3bf2f1ff00453c776f2fc8131b1faa0b1aa5f1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,468
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 5,326$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.11 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Under | 64c | 4,621$2,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,952.09 | 137 | 46.7%64 W · 73 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e3…fbb2backed Under | 46c | 4,219$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,939.18 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 1,664$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250.86 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Over | 28c | 1,541$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.13 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -8.2wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 74c | 1,337$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.99 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 1,207$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 49c | 1,200$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.99 | 260 | 52.7%137 W · 123 L | +10.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 46c | 1,180$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.23 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 25c | 1,015$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 18c | 808.18$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.71 | 47 | 17%8 W · 39 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 664.39$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.93 | 218 | 30.7%67 W · 151 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 60c | 618.77$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.51 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 45c | 486.04$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.69 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 63c | 477.96$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.48 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa54d…deb8backed Under | 65c | 354.22$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 65c | 329.68$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.69 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8514…cbb0backed Over | 52c | 302.45$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Over | 48c | 193.76$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.76 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8582…959fbacked Over | 52c | 186.77$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 19c | 156.27$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.29 | 345 | 60%207 W · 138 L | +49.3wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 65c | 151.63$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 135 | 63.7%86 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 78c | 126.59$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.68 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 18c | 118.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 116.39$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Over | 57c | 113.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Over | 34c | 112.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.55 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 26c | 103.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 31c | 99.92$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.94 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Under | 55c | 97.3$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.52 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 35c | 96.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 375 | 59.2%222 W · 153 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under | 70c | 93.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…f13cbacked Under | 17c | 86.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 55c | 83.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.71 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 36c | 80.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.72 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 30c | 79.06$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.42 | 188 | 38.8%73 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 78.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 18c | 75.68$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Over | 28c | 71.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 32c | 59.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 35c | 54.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.61 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 73c | 53.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 73c | 53.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…27b0backed Over | 34c | 49.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Over | 46c | 45.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 48c | 38.45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed Under | 79c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.62 | 192 | 68.2%131 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Under | 78c | 33.18$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffc9…bf01backed Under | 70c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 73c | 31.86$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83de…1786backed Over | 45c | 31.62$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…f56fbacked Under | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Over | 52c | 28.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 50c | 26.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe13d…cbd1backed Under | 79c | 25.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Over | 55c | 24.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Under | 72c | 20.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.75 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa95…d397backed Over | 75c | 20.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b67…829fbacked Under | 75c | 19.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed Under | 74c | 14.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 72cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Shandong Taishan FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
- Spread: Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5)Qingdao Hainiu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.