South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869ba4087d62b948ac39c6d869635b6b3dfb3c303e4e80dc89b6d25986af3628
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,250
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,611
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,250 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 77c | 1,833$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.1 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 33c | 1,197$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.09 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed No | 66c | 698.48$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.48 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 67c | 655.24$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.23 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 22c | 611$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked Yes | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 24c | 396$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.04 | 575 | 40.2%231 W · 344 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6deb…a2f3backed Yes | 31c | 323.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 24c | 315.36$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.87 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed No | 67c | 262.1$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.49 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd16…5cf0backed Yes | 13c | 238.46$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 117 | 17.9%21 W · 96 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Yes | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 66c | 223.09$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.85 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 73c | 221.99$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.81 | 519 | 45.7%237 W · 282 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bad…4d53backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Yes | 18c | 159.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7053…25e4backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76af…25c3backed No | 67c | 131.02$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 20c | 130.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 34c | 114.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Yes | 18c | 103.24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 66c | 101.25$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd52c…6c59backed Yes | 12c | 91.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 24c | 67.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.03 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 33c | 59.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4813…988fbacked No | 67c | 52.43$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…03cdbacked No | 67c | 20.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 66c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 67c | 18.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?this page
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-30?Yes won
- Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.