South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fa67debc5332fa2f38ec0467408c43270c01236f04e3924fe891c31de2b46e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,584
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Yes | 29c | 11,384$3,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,132.09 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 53c | 3,520$1,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,857.56 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 72c | 3,028$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184.01 | 1,944 | 51.3%998 W · 946 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 1,589$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 1,421$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.1 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 23c | 1,416$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 40c | 1,030$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.91 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 50c | 976.82$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.21 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +19.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 775.02$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.03 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked Yes | 59c | 700$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287 | 106 | 67.9%72 W · 34 L | +15.7wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked No | 72c | 650$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…d39ebacked No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 49c | 303.19$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 72c | 243$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.96 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 77c | 240.85$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.89 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd82d…7882backed No | 7c | 235.71$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 23cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 71c | 221$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.22 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed No | 37c | 219.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 201 | 38.3%77 W · 124 L | -8.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 57c | 191.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…ae23backed Yes | 54c | 184.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e3…e438backed Yes | 54c | 184.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +160%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x024f…2df9backed Yes | 54c | 184.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 166.62$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 166$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 72c | 160$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.4 | 175 | 60.6%106 W · 69 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 52c | 154$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.07 | 485 | 47.6%231 W · 254 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40a…ea0abacked No | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 100.74$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.53 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…0c64backed No | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 61.4%43 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 74c | 94.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 91.32$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.66 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…37dfbacked Yes | 29c | 83.1$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 181 | 45.3%82 W · 99 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 17c | 77.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbad…4f53backed Yes | 47c | 75.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9212…4040backed No | 41c | 69.95$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 23c | 67.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 42.9%72 W · 96 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x095d…110bbacked No | 53c | 47.55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed No | 53c | 47.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 27c | 44.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 108 | 26.9%29 W · 79 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc93c…95cabacked No | 75c | 30.63$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 63c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 63c | 21.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…03cdbacked No | 73c | 20.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Yes | 61c | 19.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.51 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb6…8cdebacked Yes | 53c | 18.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Macará win on 2026-04-30?this page
- Will Club Alianza Atlético vs. CSyD Macará end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Alianza Atlético win on 2026-04-30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.