Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ee78035f885aedbad3501c2fc715efd0a8462236cb4d3d59468ae4b30360cf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Perricard
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c87…2e1cbacked Musetti | 71c | 29,056$20,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Perricard | 30c | 15,500$4,657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,656.9 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Perricard | 29c | 2,016$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.64 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Perricard | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b9…a5d5backed Perricard | 29c | 1,876$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.9 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Perricard | 28c | 1,187$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.6 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Perricard | 28c | 1,144$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.19 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Perricard | 29c | 1,118$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.1 | 134 | 58.2%78 W · 56 L | +11.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf677…0e56backed Musetti | 68c | 1,029$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.24 | 283 | 50.5%143 W · 140 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Perricard | 29c | 964.21$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.62 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Perricard | 29c | 799.99$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Musetti | 64c | 781.8$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.8 | 327 | 63.9%209 W · 118 L | +15.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Perricard | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Perricard | 34c | 500$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.73 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf629…38d5backed Perricard | 30c | 446.67$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +9.1wins | +0.22per pick | 51cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Perricard | 31c | 432$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.49 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Musetti | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 182 | 58.8%107 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ae…c975backed Perricard | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 215 | 37.2%80 W · 135 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2af…e3bcbacked Perricard | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f83…3af9backed Perricard | 28c | 341.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Perricard | 29c | 330.76$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Musetti | 65c | 308.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.74 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Musetti | 72c | 299.26$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bf…b02dbacked Musetti | 67c | 298.22$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.22 | 591 | 65.3%386 W · 205 L | -16.9wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Perricard | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Musetti | 65c | 227.26$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Perricard | 33c | 205.21$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.72 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Perricard | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…c407backed Perricard | 31c | 174.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Perricard | 29c | 171.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.73 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c7…5cecbacked Perricard | 29c | 170.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.39 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2095…8521backed Perricard | 32c | 164.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 176 | 58.5%103 W · 73 L | +12.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Perricard | 31c | 160$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Perricard | 28c | 156.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 269 | 51.3%138 W · 131 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe779…059cbacked Perricard | 32c | 140.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c13…ef2ebacked Perricard | 29c | 113.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Perricard | 35c | 111.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b75…6679backed Perricard | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Perricard | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Perricard | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 810 | 47.9%388 W · 422 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01e0…d1cebacked Perricard | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Perricard | 31c | 52.42$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Perricard | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Musetti | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Perricard | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…0c9abacked Musetti | 67c | 49.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 124 | 64.5%80 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Perricard | 32c | 34.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Musetti | 66c | 22.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 92 | 44.6%41 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Musetti | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6428…db0fbacked Musetti | 66c | 18.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Musetti | 65c | 15.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 336 | 61.3%206 W · 130 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Perricard (+1.5)this page
- Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi PerricardLorenzo Musetti won
- Lorenzo Musetti vs. Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Musetti vs. Perricard: Match O/U 21.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.