Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdbd01e3892f21684200a7946b000e1f42bdf3ae1fadc9b50bffe816b8ebe5534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,084
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,480
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,084 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d43…ae44backed Yes | 13c | 2,989$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.6 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 1,973$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.65 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 74c | 1,145$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.65 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 75c | 992$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…5140backed Yes | 26c | 776.2$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 25c | 294.03$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.51 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…b1eebacked Yes | 26c | 258.6$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.24 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 74c | 234.26$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.86 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 20c | 214.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 67c | 150$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.5 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 74c | 150$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 33c | 143.97$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 570 | 19.8%113 W · 457 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 25c | 131.29$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 26c | 128.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8df…8a93backed Yes | 15c | 126.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 26c | 126.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 118.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…77e8backed Yes | 13c | 112.09$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 24c | 97.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 21c | 95.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 54.7%192 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 75c | 78.8$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 77c | 78.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Yes | 25c | 55.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 73c | 52.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.16 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 75c | 19.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked No | 75c | 14.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-18?this page
- Will CD Santa Clara win on 2026-04-18?No won
- Will Casa Pia AC vs. CD Santa Clara end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.