TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Australian A League · resolved market

Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-09?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,250
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,836

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,250 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Australian A League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0346…52a5backed No59c5,442$3,197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,244.814348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-26.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Yes42c4,964$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0801643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfabc…2134backed No30c3,211$977 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,234.6514060.7%85 W · 55 L+19.7wins+0.14per pick47cpaid+31%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No63c3,168$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.84785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick71cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c2,836$1,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.298844.4%439 W · 549 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No66c2,288$1,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.771283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick53cpaid+48.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No67c1,598$1,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.734553.3%24 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No60c1,500$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6002763%17 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f9…c741backed Yes39c1,451$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No70c1,344$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.346471.9%46 W · 18 L+9.9wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+36.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes42c1,166$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.274341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+156.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ec…4d49backed No71c848.29$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88bf…0933backed Yes40c770.01$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.1120%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes21c749.97$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.169336.6%34 W · 59 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes67c741.38$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4313049.2%64 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No64c688.63$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.2715140.4%61 W · 90 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked No59c668.23$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0411858.5%69 W · 49 L+0.2wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No67c613.56$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.634647.8%22 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5ae3…cd3bbacked Yes50c597.15$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No59c578.74$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.592055%11 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eab…78efbacked Yes31c554.34$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.04366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+80.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Yes39c512.95$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-51.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeea8…0412backed Yes38c500$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1901145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes40c447$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.813551.1%69 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes41c426.16$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.721450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes18c321.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.251741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes26c305.11$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.331323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+179.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Yes42c288.21$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No67c287.44$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.861668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.9wins+0.25per pick44cpaid+70.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Yes41c265.27$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.76333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes51c264$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.8347850.8%243 W · 235 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff4c…25a4backed Yes42c236.9$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed No74c235.42$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.191060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes41c218.85$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.733745.9%17 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x361f…5edabacked Yes34c218.42$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No63c217.63$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.74560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No67c198.1$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.11650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked No73c158.11$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No58c151$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.9214955.7%83 W · 66 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes67c142.84$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.453354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No56c134.3$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.321330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick50cpaid-55.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Yes26c132$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.964729.8%14 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e4e…2564backed Yes39c128.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes35c124.61$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes42c119.05$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508050%40 W · 40 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa590…271cbacked Yes43c114.36$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.53366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick32cpaid+165.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a80…49bfbacked No59c109.99$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes28c101.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.049714.4%14 W · 83 L-13.0wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-48.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes42c95.24$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-60.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No55c93.7$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.342944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a25…8055backed Yes52c93.63$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.65425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-64.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes27c90$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Yes58c90$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.21330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Yes34c85.29$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292560%15 W · 10 L+4.3wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+24.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No69c79$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2623551.5%121 W · 114 L+13.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes30c74.2$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0614951%76 W · 73 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc86e…8dfcbacked Yes68c73.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.67757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e45…39dabacked No70c71.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.61580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes30c71.18$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4910633%35 W · 71 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x389d…995fbacked No70c70.93$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No62c70$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes30c68.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.81442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-24.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No63c65.57$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.4511050%55 W · 55 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes31c64.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209446.8%44 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes32c51.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.781163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0673…ed8bbacked No71c51.16$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed No59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.851266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf60b…c18ebacked No59c49.61$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.343574.3%26 W · 9 L+8.1wins+0.23per pick51cpaid+49.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No66c48.65$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.731662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes60c45$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No59c44.95$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.432871.4%20 W · 8 L+4.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+30.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c50…d6ebbacked Yes43c44.28$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked Yes68c36.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes39c34.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.344854.2%26 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…daa0backed No60c33.33$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.332100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed Yes54c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6630%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x95e4…5134backed Yes37c30.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes36c30.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c95…363fbacked Yes42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf81e…b0c5backed Yes68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked No69c28.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.932100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed Yes40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105832.8%19 W · 39 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfab3…1f0abacked No60c21.8$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc1…7a07backed Yes69c20.22$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No74c15.63$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfc7…2367backed No64c15.63$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.