Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0fb7cb29f3e5a04c16f9d61ff482109c7259cf12e7fdf101b95eed49b5ae1554
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 71c | 2,837$2,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,005.8 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes | 26c | 1,897$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,396.11 | 93 | 36.6%34 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 67c | 746.71$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 41c | 654.18$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.92 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32df…cce8backed No | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…5292backed Yes | 27c | 462.96$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 50c | 461.73$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.1 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Yes | 32c | 450.84$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 345.74$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.23 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 73c | 322.38$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.17 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 29c | 219.09$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 47c | 182$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.81 | 25 | 88%22 W · 3 L | +7.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9605…a2c4backed Yes | 28c | 174.11$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…9ea3backed Yes | 28c | 153.57$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 54c | 146.28$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 30c | 120.72$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked No | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 49c | 93.85$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.23 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 47c | 92.46$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 23c | 92.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 55c | 91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f8…2869backed Yes | 53c | 76.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +63.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked Yes | 47c | 68.16$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…fdc0backed No | 24c | 55.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e3…6761backed Yes | 74c | 53.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 50.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 41c | 48.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked No | 67c | 44.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed No | 53c | 42.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…681bbacked No | 52c | 40.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fab…9db1backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +161.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 49c | 39.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed No | 46c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b53…95c4backed No | 37c | 31.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed No | 75c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 65cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 74c | 25.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Yes | 53c | 22.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.