Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70956a542081f733697c891088a950f6338622db0d9eed91973d13c52f2095f7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Team Nemesis, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7df…5eeebacked Team Nemesis | 39c | 7,706$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,034.28 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Team Lynx | 74c | 4,053$2,982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Lynx | 61c | 3,262$1,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.53 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Lynx | 65c | 3,129$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.11 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad69…7397backed Team Lynx | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.35 | 511 | 40.3%206 W · 305 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 2,428$1,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.5 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Nemesis | 36c | 2,299$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.46 | 345 | 44.3%153 W · 192 L | -15.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 1,320$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.18 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08d5…8601backed Team Nemesis | 43c | 1,160$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Lynx | 72c | 872.94$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5051…82a6backed Team Nemesis | 36c | 861.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.18 | 204 | 52.5%107 W · 97 L | +12.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 711$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.96 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 648$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.99 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.17per pick | 32cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 605.08$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.83 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4994…3e36backed Team Lynx | 59c | 605$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.05 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +19.9wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 407.35$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.94 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Team Lynx | 60c | 400.04$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.97 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdabd…6adabacked Team Nemesis | 44c | 394$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.36 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -8.5wins | -0.18per pick | 42cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Nemesis | 38c | 325.97$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.45 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Lynx | 68c | 320$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.27 | 1,151 | 47.8%550 W · 601 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b86…dd8fbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 296.27$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.51 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Team Lynx | 56c | 281$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.64 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Lynx | 73c | 224.38$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e2…9aeebacked Team Lynx | 61c | 215.73$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.75 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Team Lynx | 72c | 204$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.48 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 201.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.36 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…51debacked Team Lynx | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Team Lynx | 77c | 176.5$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 79 | 54.4%43 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5839…3fa8backed Team Lynx | 60c | 167.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.52 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Lynx | 67c | 159.99$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Team Nemesis | 41c | 158.54$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Team Lynx | 64c | 155.09$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.09 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Team Lynx | 75c | 154.58$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.99 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 152.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Lynx | 59c | 151.64$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.17 | 258 | 55%142 W · 116 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Team Lynx | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Team Nemesis | 7c | 136.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 107 | 28%30 W · 77 L | -8.2wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e6f…cb64backed Team Nemesis | 39c | 126.8$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 125.75$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.07 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 45.2%151 W · 183 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…ef1dbacked Team Nemesis | 41c | 113.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.69 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Team Lynx | 58c | 101.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 168 | 37.5%63 W · 105 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Team Nemesis | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Team Lynx | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Lynx | 58c | 95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Nemesis | 31c | 88.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.51 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Team Lynx | 74c | 81.07$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.08 | 339 | 51.3%174 W · 165 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Lynx | 71c | 79.46$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 1,894 | 47.7%903 W · 991 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x141f…7711backed Team Lynx | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 71.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Team Lynx | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…369dbacked Team Nemesis | 42c | 69.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Team Lynx | 59c | 69.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.76 | 430 | 49.1%211 W · 219 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…ca53backed Team Nemesis | 42c | 69.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Team Lynx | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Team Lynx | 63c | 66.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team Nemesis | 37c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f8…71e0backed Team Nemesis | 40c | 55.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 48.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8480…8b20backed Team Lynx | 64c | 46.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 43.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 1,691 | 41.4%700 W · 991 L | -40.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked Team Lynx | 70c | 42.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Team Lynx | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed Team Nemesis | 34c | 39.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Lynx | 56c | 39$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabaf…b8dabacked Team Lynx | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Team Nemesis | 33c | 31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team Lynx | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 535 | 58.9%315 W · 220 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Team Nemesis | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 907 | 56.1%509 W · 398 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Lynx | 56c | 25.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked Team Lynx | 60c | 23.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Team Lynx | 74c | 22.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Team Lynx | 65c | 21.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.63 | 395 | 59%233 W · 162 L | +18.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b9…7a6bbacked Team Lynx | 56c | 20.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Group Bthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
- Game Handicap: LYNX (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Lynx won
- Game Handicap: Nem (-1.5) vs Team Lynx (+1.5)Team Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.