Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa736cee85b1b72365d779a5b9f4da620e17a630412d65fb7b9cf0f0c648be614
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,012
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4283…4eefbacked Yes | 5c | 1,274$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 1,017$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.76 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf983…7fb3backed Yes | 48c | 625.98$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 49c | 614.63$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 58c | 524.15$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.69 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 45c | 522.76$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 76c | 388.03$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca0d…2602backed Yes | 31c | 324.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 308.45$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 70c | 299.97$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.14 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 71c | 287.69$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.04 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe97b…5ecdbacked Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -43%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 26c | 161.54$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | -9.6wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 29c | 112.23$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.08 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 75c | 99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7d…21c7backed Yes | 11c | 96.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 40c | 89.74$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.9 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | -7.8wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5865…696abacked Yes | 61c | 88.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 66cpaid | -30%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 57c | 75.55$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.57 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Yes | 25c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x304e…9ce6backed Yes | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc4…7ae7backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 28c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 73c | 42.15$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…1ad5backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 50c | 37.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.92 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…c927backed No | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 61c | 35$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 58c | 34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed No | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 60c | 33.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.11 | 241 | 62.2%150 W · 91 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d8…cffcbacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be1…3371backed Yes | 47c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 53c | 27.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 78c | 25.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 46c | 24.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…17eebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 70c | 15.01$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -6.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashima Antlers vs. Urawa Red Diamonds end in a draw?this page
- Will Kashima Antlers win on 2026-04-18?Yes won
- Will Urawa Red Diamonds win on 2026-04-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.