CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f2a6cb057ee069c8b2faefee3925036cd6fd02d32ee03afc84708db347a6f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof Imperial, Fake do Biru
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,586
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Fake do Biru | 30c | 2,528$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$748.92 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Fake do Biru | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Fake do Biru | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 108 | 0.9%1 W · 107 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2d…318bbacked Fake do Biru | 1c | 2,250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 75 | 1.3%1 W · 74 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Fake do Biru | 2c | 1,157$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 79 | 20.3%16 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Fake do Biru | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 0%0 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Fake do Biru | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 194 | 3.6%7 W · 187 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fake do Biru | 14c | 683.93$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.31 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 501.29$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Fake do Biru | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Fake do Biru | 16c | 399.5$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 71c | 318.03$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.23 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 71c | 316.75$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.86 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3468…e71ebacked Fake do Biru | 28c | 305.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Fake do Biru | 34c | 299.13$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.07 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Imperial | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Imperial | 75c | 237.17$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.85 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Imperial | 71c | 210.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked Imperial | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Fake do Biru | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Fake do Biru | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 300 | 31.7%95 W · 205 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6b…7450backed Imperial | 64c | 152.89$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 68cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Fake do Biru | 13c | 151.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc671…b0c7backed Imperial | 67c | 149.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Imperial | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff6…d07ebacked Imperial | 71c | 139$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.31 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf8…7d2bbacked Imperial | 71c | 127.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 153 | 55.6%85 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Fake do Biru | 14c | 119.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Imperial | 71c | 95.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Imperial | 71c | 93.2$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.03 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Fake do Biru | 21c | 93.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ddd…1fc8backed Imperial | 64c | 75$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Fake do Biru | 26c | 72.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Fake do Biru | 36c | 69.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 288 | 56.6%163 W · 125 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1afd…427ebacked Imperial | 71c | 69.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +7.4wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +27%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Imperial | 62c | 64.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.43 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Fake do Biru | 37c | 59.38$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 262 | 46.9%123 W · 139 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Fake do Biru | 26c | 55.73$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Imperial | 65c | 50.94$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…8d97backed Imperial | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 326 | 62%202 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbb…75a1backed Fake do Biru | 41c | 48.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 143 | 39.9%57 W · 86 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6495…6cd7backed Imperial | 62c | 48.2$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +23%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfff2…3f58backed Fake do Biru | 37c | 40.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 69 | 18.8%13 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…9793backed Imperial | 63c | 31.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf54e…1297backed Imperial | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec7…5954backed Imperial | 56c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…22e9backed Fake do Biru | 43c | 28.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Imperial | 63c | 28.44$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…dff7backed Imperial | 71c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Fake do Biru - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.