Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Barcząca Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe820b37fff5a1642969c0575cd88a0eb573c1384ba6371df7f258d34c8031040
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Barcząca Esportsof BOMBA Team, Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked BOMBA Team | 40c | 1,182$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.75 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Barcząca Esports | 61c | 508.95$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Barcząca Esports | 60c | 500.17$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.17 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac42…60d1backed Barcząca Esports | 58c | 404$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.95 | 76 | 26.3%20 W · 56 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked BOMBA Team | 44c | 396.57$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.53 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Barcząca Esports | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Barcząca Esports | 59c | 153.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.79 | 376 | 47.9%180 W · 196 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Barcząca Esports | 58c | 119.98$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked BOMBA Team | 41c | 90$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9586…de67backed BOMBA Team | 43c | 63.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b74…cbaebacked BOMBA Team | 41c | 32.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 162 | 54.3%88 W · 74 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…a5d4backed BOMBA Team | 65c | 30.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Barcząca Esports | 78c | 18.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Barcząca Esports (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonBarcząca Esports won
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team - Game 1 WinnerBOMBA Team won
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs BOMBA Team - Game 2 WinnerBarcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.