Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e24a40c7fa263bf60b92b3054af1a0ee47b228ebc4d570180d6d463b4afa396
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ultra Primeof LGD Gaming, Ultra Prime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,345
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked LGD Gaming | 45c | 5,946$2,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,659.6 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked LGD Gaming | 43c | 4,991$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.17 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Ultra Prime | 56c | 4,955$2,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,180 | 543 | 53.8%292 W · 251 L | +32.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0636…c529backed Ultra Prime | 59c | 3,400$2,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Ultra Prime | 55c | 2,654$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.14 | 1,007 | 47.9%482 W · 525 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 2,381$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.15 | 2,156 | 53.2%1,148 W · 1,008 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 1,610$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.77 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Ultra Prime | 58c | 1,431$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.21 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Ultra Prime | 55c | 1,061$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.65 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Ultra Prime | 63c | 988.65$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.17 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ultra Prime | 55c | 986.5$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.93 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 610$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Ultra Prime | 56c | 599.99$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 1,156 | 45.1%521 W · 635 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Ultra Prime | 58c | 532.97$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.85 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Ultra Prime | 55c | 509.15$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.96 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Ultra Prime | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 470.77$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.92 | 97 | 38.1%37 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 439.27$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.28 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdded…13a2backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 238.08$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.61 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LGD Gaming | 44c | 236.67$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Ultra Prime | 58c | 203.33$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked Ultra Prime | 60c | 195.2$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.08 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed LGD Gaming | 44c | 193.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.04 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Ultra Prime | 60c | 135.01$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 650 | 63.2%411 W · 239 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 98.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…bbb2backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 94.11$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.58 | 321 | 42.1%135 W · 186 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed Ultra Prime | 59c | 90$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.9 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 89.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Ultra Prime | 55c | 49.47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked LGD Gaming | 41c | 49.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 357 | 55.7%199 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked LGD Gaming | 40c | 48.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 45.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320b…6057backed LGD Gaming | 43c | 44.92$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Ultra Prime | 57c | 41.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 184 | 47.8%88 W · 96 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Ultra Prime | 68c | 38.53$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed LGD Gaming | 41c | 37.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed Ultra Prime | 57c | 32.87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked LGD Gaming | 44c | 24.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: LGD (-1.5) vs Ultra Prime (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaUltra Prime won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 WinnerUltra Prime won
- LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 WinnerUltra Prime won
- Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.