Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa301c1d144b8fb0a740508034739859d378c2f17fa1ca76152f41b5964e3c6ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 3,409$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,873.39 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…ac67backed Over | 68c | 2,888$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.51 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 36c | 1,115$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.76 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Under | 43c | 1,109$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.37 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 36c | 724.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.61 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 14c | 598.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.16 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 435.8$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.19 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 35c | 348.97$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f89…e85bbacked Over | 33c | 199.91$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 43c | 179.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 66c | 146.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.98 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…4789backed Over | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 64cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 57c | 126.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 56c | 87.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.77 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 57c | 87.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef2…5584backed Over | 57c | 85.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 65c | 75.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfce2…9787backed Over | 25c | 75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 47c | 64.27$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3d…3681backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 77cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 36c | 53.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 43c | 51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.07 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 44c | 45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 32c | 44.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Over | 37c | 40.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked Under | 55c | 39.4$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Over | 65c | 37.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b5…56abbacked Under | 35c | 36.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.67 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 35c | 29.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Over | 57c | 29.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 28.34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5844…12e2backed Over | 57c | 25.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Over | 62c | 22.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d39…5ceebacked Over | 65c | 19.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Over | 57c | 17.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9132…6607backed Under | 78c | 15.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.