Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6f2343eea9c743a7f98aca0915c528cd0e794d84d01908ce45f2e8938a23ccd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,677
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,677 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 34c | 1,050$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.14 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.1 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 51c | 739.06$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.1 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 414.08$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 411.52$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 65c | 341.97$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Yes | 67c | 219.45$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 65c | 192$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Yes | 27c | 175.94$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Yes | 64c | 116$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 34c | 107.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 89.29$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.29 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3e…b265backed No | 28c | 85.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.51 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 57c | 68.36$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.97 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 51c | 57.09$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Yes | 67c | 50.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.57 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Yes | 59c | 47.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.97 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Yes | 42c | 46.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 66c | 44.08$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…0dbdbacked Yes | 42c | 43.92$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 79c | 43.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 135 | 73.3%99 W · 36 L | +24.7wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Yes | 67c | 29.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 36c | 28.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.67 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Yes | 65c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Fredericia vs. Odense BK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Fredericia (-2.5)Odense BK won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.