Tennis · resolved market
Cervia: Max Alcala Gurri vs Juan Martin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5fa43a48c6dd19eed0fbe2beabf03caa276c86ea0b9dc74ed51e6ffcf4c53b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Max Alcala Gurriof Max Alcala Gurri, Juan Martin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Juan Martin | 27c | 4,675$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.86 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 3,599$2,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.58 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Juan Martin | 7c | 2,020$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 161 | 33.5%54 W · 107 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Juan Martin | 2c | 1,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Juan Martin | 31c | 761.58$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.78 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0574…3ee0backed Juan Martin | 20c | 609.14$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Juan Martin | 9c | 539.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.96 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e02…b178backed Juan Martin | 3c | 377.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 334 | 9.6%32 W · 302 L | -16.7wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Juan Martin | 37c | 345.3$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Max Alcala Gurri | 80c | 324.88$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.12 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Juan Martin | 6c | 318.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Juan Martin | 8c | 208.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Juan Martin | 33c | 206.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juan Martin | 12c | 204.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.53 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.6 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 199.99$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Juan Martin | 17c | 196.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Juan Martin | 11c | 195.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Max Alcala Gurri | 64c | 192.83$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Juan Martin | 27c | 177.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Alcala Gurri | 79c | 158.94$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.1 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 158.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.06 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Juan Martin | 26c | 155.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 148.3$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 133.33$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.67 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Juan Martin | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Juan Martin | 27c | 109.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Max Alcala Gurri | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Juan Martin | 26c | 98.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Juan Martin | 26c | 92.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Max Alcala Gurri | 64c | 77.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Juan Martin | 36c | 70.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Juan Martin | 26c | 70.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…2296backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 143 | 69.9%100 W · 43 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Max Alcala Gurri | 68c | 66.49$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Juan Martin | 32c | 61.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 783 | 50.3%394 W · 389 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Juan Martin | 34c | 50.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Juan Martin | 26c | 43.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17f7…a181backed Juan Martin | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d75…26fbbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | -10.2wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…9a00backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 201 | 58.7%118 W · 83 L | -12.8wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Juan Martin | 27c | 37.3$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…804abacked Max Alcala Gurri | 56c | 35.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…7889backed Max Alcala Gurri | 71c | 35.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 560 | 70.7%396 W · 164 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x474f…8ec6backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…041fbacked Juan Martin | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 58c | 25.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.73 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Max Alcala Gurri | 77c | 20.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x978f…e14dbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 79c | 18.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 208 | 41.8%87 W · 121 L | -26.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Max Alcala Gurri | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.