Tennis · resolved market
Istanbul: Alafia Ayeni vs Franco Agamenone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56604153bc1a7f2fcc3a71a6656a294a1a4ebf221a00541ef7d6c323b206aa21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Agamenoneof Alafia Ayeni, Franco Agamenone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $57,627
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,636
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,627 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb184…b6c6backed Alafia Ayeni | 9c | 5,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 37cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x779a…b689backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 2,540$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.4 | 141 | 62.4%88 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alafia Ayeni | 15c | 1,593$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.79 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Alafia Ayeni | 11c | 1,478$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.96 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Alafia Ayeni | 7c | 1,074$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Alafia Ayeni | 15c | 927.59$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.83 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Alafia Ayeni | 8c | 830.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.63 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Alafia Ayeni | 11c | 807.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.65 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4538…7d5cbacked Alafia Ayeni | 30c | 745.67$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.7 | 177 | 38.4%68 W · 109 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 702.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.47 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Franco Agamenone | 79c | 680.48$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.16 | 599 | 65.8%394 W · 205 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Alafia Ayeni | 11c | 626.67$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.62 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Alafia Ayeni | 6c | 584.13$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alafia Ayeni | 18c | 547.44$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.09 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Alafia Ayeni | 13c | 523.08$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 160 | 18.1%29 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alafia Ayeni | 17c | 519.33$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.45 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Franco Agamenone | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Franco Agamenone | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 450.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Alafia Ayeni | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 209 | 38.3%80 W · 129 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Alafia Ayeni | 21c | 380.9$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.53 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 367$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.33 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 334.98$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 318.13$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.26 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked Alafia Ayeni | 14c | 299.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 271 | 32.1%87 W · 184 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…3850backed Alafia Ayeni | 12c | 293.06$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 856 | 24.4%209 W · 647 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…20bebacked Alafia Ayeni | 9c | 261.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 482 | 14.1%68 W · 414 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Alafia Ayeni | 9c | 253.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Alafia Ayeni | 17c | 253.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.97 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c3…55a3backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 251$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.22 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Alafia Ayeni | 5c | 242.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Franco Agamenone | 78c | 241.82$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Alafia Ayeni | 9c | 233.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +54%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76d4…c512backed Alafia Ayeni | 5c | 217.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…224abacked Alafia Ayeni | 6c | 214.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 202.26$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.26 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alafia Ayeni | 13c | 176.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 174.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Alafia Ayeni | 13c | 165.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Alafia Ayeni | 14c | 164.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Alafia Ayeni | 15c | 160.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.79 | 218 | 38.1%83 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Alafia Ayeni | 20c | 143.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 126.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Franco Agamenone | 80c | 125.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Alafia Ayeni | 21c | 123.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Alafia Ayeni | 11c | 115.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Franco Agamenone | 79c | 101.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d18…6f62backed Franco Agamenone | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 560 | 62.5%350 W · 210 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Franco Agamenone | 77c | 93.9$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Alafia Ayeni | 13c | 93.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Franco Agamenone | 78c | 93.63$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…23f1backed Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 86.6$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 132 | 53%70 W · 62 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 84.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1258…0c15backed Alafia Ayeni | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Alafia Ayeni | 16c | 79.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…2cabbacked Alafia Ayeni | 14c | 77.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x692c…aadebacked Alafia Ayeni | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alafia Ayeni | 23c | 70.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47cd…573cbacked Alafia Ayeni | 22c | 66.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Franco Agamenone | 74c | 65$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080b…5b74backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb5…a35dbacked Franco Agamenone | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad99…52d5backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 53.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.18 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 52.39$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Franco Agamenone | 78c | 38.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 103 | 42.7%44 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 34.66$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Franco Agamenone | 77c | 29.39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc1…1efbbacked Franco Agamenone | 79c | 24.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Franco Agamenone | 77c | 21.01$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe10f…e8bbbacked Franco Agamenone | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 185 | 72.4%134 W · 51 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x570d…c0debacked Franco Agamenone | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbafb…3031backed Franco Agamenone | 80c | 15.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.03 | 336 | 73.2%246 W · 90 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 78cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc06d…9904backed Franco Agamenone | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Franco Agamenone | 78c | 13.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.