Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd679ac5aa9e78972cb8c3def46ef9e78f56ed4ce25a392c5a30a866e4e61fe25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcec3…b76dbacked Over | 59c | 40,000$23,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,399.91 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 33,482$13,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,556.21 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 60c | 5,191$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.04 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under | 34c | 4,626$1,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.69 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 3,951$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.36 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 41c | 2,474$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.17 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Under | 41c | 2,243$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.51 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Under | 44c | 754.2$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d7…ba47backed Under | 41c | 750$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 59c | 708.66$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.55 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee4…d386backed Under | 41c | 497.24$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.87 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 41c | 488.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.36 | 89 | 30.3%27 W · 62 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 13c | 390.02$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.21 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8942…1e76backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | -6.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…aaccbacked Over | 61c | 320$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2060…9186backed Over | 64c | 307.1$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 40c | 299.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 38c | 199.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 62c | 190.31$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…2813backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…555cbacked Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 69c | 116.32$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.32 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Under | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 41c | 78.05$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 59c | 68.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 504 | 50.2%253 W · 251 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad5…bec4backed Over | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Under | 38c | 59.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda85…0ab3backed Over | 59c | 59.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 36c | 50.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.29 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Under | 39c | 41.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Under | 41c | 41.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 36cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…7952backed Under | 43c | 41.3$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4790…2dd7backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 41c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.35 | 276 | 41.3%114 W · 162 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…02ccbacked Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5this page
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.