Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25ad36633fdc867c9df6a8ecab7b76c2d0bd64c374e7de6df610a0768e5168c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,228
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Over | 74c | 1,999$1,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 1,845$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.15 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…f023backed Under | 8c | 1,010$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 75c | 882.1$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.66 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 28c | 783.65$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.54 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 74c | 700$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Over | 74c | 675.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.74 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 43c | 367$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Under | 35c | 283.07$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 57c | 248.68$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 74c | 201.03$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.77 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 74c | 162.16$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.16 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 38c | 139.44$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1893…a913backed Over | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a2…8015backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…3f27backed Over | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 75c | 113.39$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 50 | 70%35 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf6…773bbacked Over | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +107.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 75c | 88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 12c | 85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 12c | 85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.8 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Over | 75c | 66.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…807dbacked Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 56cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 23c | 60.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…96ecbacked Over | 74c | 53.45$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…ff5fbacked Under | 72c | 51.39$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Under | 29c | 49.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 72c | 30.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8604…cb8fbacked Over | 71c | 27.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.01 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 57c | 19.6$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 168 | 31.5%53 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Over | 72c | 13.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5this page
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.