Fifa International · resolved market
Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5de4e50843587c001475682758896b6e71245997d131ee4c3a8c93f192f0f514
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Under | 45c | 42,727$19,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,236.55 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Over | 55c | 16,679$9,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,572.42 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 55c | 15,781$8,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,073.3 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8723…1ccebacked Under | 0c | 10,006$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 6,489$3,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,211.16 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed Over | 61c | 4,512$2,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,756.38 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 37c | 3,394$1,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,253.19 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 2,926$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.95 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Over | 3c | 2,330$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,259.74 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +13.7wins | +0.27per pick | 22cpaid | +416.2%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xda49…5307backed Over | 70c | 1,642$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 54c | 831.63$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.39 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.67 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Over | 62c | 355.22$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.22 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 36c | 249.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2496…50a5backed Over | 38c | 222.95$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.95 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Over | 56c | 156.65$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ed…42f5backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 30c | 150.81$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.3 | 115 | 52.2%60 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 36c | 141.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.3 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 29c | 120.2$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 26c | 117.34$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.34 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -47%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 64c | 104.13$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 71cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 166 | 55.4%92 W · 74 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…e5d8backed Over | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 231 | 42.4%98 W · 133 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 71c | 84.46$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.46 | 108 | 68.5%74 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.96 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd2…b7ecbacked Over | 56c | 82.67$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e63…2d79backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Over | 37c | 65.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.27 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…8528backed Over | 64c | 45.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c9…2bd8backed Over | 64c | 44.15$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 56c | 35.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a67…0355backed Over | 57c | 34.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd94…c56cbacked Over | 64c | 34.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 50c | 33.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.7 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff2e…1006backed Under | 47c | 32.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…6a86backed Over | 55c | 31.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Under | 34c | 31.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ca…edbabacked Under | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…6b37backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…d99dbacked Over | 58c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 27.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef8…fb10backed Over | 64c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +43%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Over | 62c | 21.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6834…67a5backed Over | 58c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc69a…e9f7backed Over | 65c | 15.54$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 4.5this page
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5Over won
- Egypt vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.