Tennis · resolved market
ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Anton Arzhankin vs Kristijan Juhas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x469defa46a3c602970523ce6a051e59745fa700ddb40a5df02b4d69a1b7c25b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kristijan Juhasof Anton Arzhankin, Kristijan Juhas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kristijan Juhas | 59c | 365.17$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Anton Arzhankin | 28c | 349.57$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.88 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Anton Arzhankin | 16c | 319.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Kristijan Juhas | 68c | 224.8$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Kristijan Juhas | 78c | 221.05$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…5339backed Anton Arzhankin | 53c | 144.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.57 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -11.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x581e…5d85backed Anton Arzhankin | 52c | 107.69$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anton Arzhankin | 51c | 101.77$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.9 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Anton Arzhankin | 51c | 97.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…0e58backed Anton Arzhankin | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kristijan Juhas | 47c | 85.27$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.19 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Anton Arzhankin | 18c | 77.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…1e77backed Anton Arzhankin | 54c | 67.76$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.59 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Kristijan Juhas | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe839…0a9dbacked Kristijan Juhas | 41c | 60$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 391 | 57.8%226 W · 165 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kristijan Juhas | 46c | 55.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Kristijan Juhas | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Anton Arzhankin | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2659…e15abacked Kristijan Juhas | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe366…6de2backed Anton Arzhankin | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Kristijan Juhas | 57c | 36.65$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.73 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Kristijan Juhas | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc7…268dbacked Anton Arzhankin | 54c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32d…23b4backed Kristijan Juhas | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Anton Arzhankin | 46c | 21.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Kristijan Juhas | 65c | 20.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.42 | 274 | 48.5%133 W · 141 L | +24.3wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Anton Arzhankin vs Kristijan Juhasthis page
- ITF M15 Kursumlijska Banja 12 Men: Completed Match: Anton Arzhankin vs Kristijan JuhasYes won
- Set Handicap: Arzhankin (-1.5) vs Juhas (+1.5)Juhas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.