Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Mark Ceban vs Michele Ribecai
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd16c6c11f759b9266288d6872acd9a5f4b7c76ae5e90433db846d21644406807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michele Ribecaiof Mark Ceban, Michele Ribecai
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Mark Ceban | 20c | 1,462$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.13 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…caf0backed Michele Ribecai | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 104 | 70.2%73 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Mark Ceban | 39c | 1,181$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.16 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc627…47b2backed Michele Ribecai | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 385 | 57.1%220 W · 165 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mark Ceban | 37c | 833.1$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.43 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Michele Ribecai | 64c | 752.78$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Michele Ribecai | 60c | 340$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mark Ceban | 34c | 196.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.94 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Mark Ceban | 31c | 187.19$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Mark Ceban | 18c | 181.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07aa…63bfbacked Michele Ribecai | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Mark Ceban | 39c | 151.89$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2947…e04fbacked Michele Ribecai | 60c | 124.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Michele Ribecai | 59c | 113.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…886ebacked Michele Ribecai | 65c | 112.69$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 176 | 60.2%106 W · 70 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 112$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6feb…c082backed Mark Ceban | 41c | 110.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 306 | 44.1%135 W · 171 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Michele Ribecai | 76c | 104$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mark Ceban | 11c | 100.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 97.5$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Michele Ribecai | 61c | 96.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Michele Ribecai | 61c | 82.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Michele Ribecai | 63c | 64.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Michele Ribecai | 72c | 57.86$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Michele Ribecai | 59c | 49.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.49 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Michele Ribecai | 73c | 44.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Michele Ribecai | 65c | 43.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 2,281 | 52%1,187 W · 1,094 L | +82.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Mark Ceban | 41c | 37.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 37.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 1,077 | 52.4%564 W · 513 L | +30.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Mark Ceban | 40c | 36.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Mark Ceban | 41c | 33.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Michele Ribecai | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Michele Ribecai | 68c | 23.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…2465backed Michele Ribecai | 59c | 23.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 80 | 67.5%54 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Michele Ribecai | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Michele Ribecai | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Michele Ribecai | 61c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.02 | 281 | 64.4%181 W · 100 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ad…5097backed Michele Ribecai | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 268 | 68.3%183 W · 85 L | +13.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…7663backed Michele Ribecai | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.