Tennis · resolved market
Augsburg: Liam Gavrielides vs Matyas Fuele
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x890e8806252df757ac6835239af7a38d95636435c6340ae06143306c57e9c010
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liam Gavrielidesof Liam Gavrielides, Matyas Fuele
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Matyas Fuele | 5c | 4,202$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.17 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…cf29backed Matyas Fuele | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 28cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Matyas Fuele | 4c | 2,952$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Liam Gavrielides | 54c | 2,160$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.59 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Matyas Fuele | 2c | 1,962$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.89 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Matyas Fuele | 43c | 1,925$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.94 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Matyas Fuele | 4c | 1,830$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.23 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Liam Gavrielides | 71c | 1,713$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.31 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Matyas Fuele | 35c | 1,625$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.71 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Liam Gavrielides | 57c | 999.25$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.23 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Matyas Fuele | 40c | 867.86$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.95 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Matyas Fuele | 29c | 686.5$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.94 | 737 | 38.8%286 W · 451 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Matyas Fuele | 31c | 646.97$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.56 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbe…ae0ebacked Matyas Fuele | 46c | 602.65$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Matyas Fuele | 35c | 569.4$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.37 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…946bbacked Matyas Fuele | 39c | 397.21$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.91 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Matyas Fuele | 49c | 339.48$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.97 | 221 | 50.7%112 W · 109 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2b…9b9ebacked Matyas Fuele | 29c | 329.83$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +4.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Matyas Fuele | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 443 | 59.8%265 W · 178 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Liam Gavrielides | 53c | 177.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 636 | 50.3%320 W · 316 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…374abacked Liam Gavrielides | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 136 | 58.1%79 W · 57 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Matyas Fuele | 45c | 136.93$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 298 | 50%149 W · 149 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba4…3fa6backed Liam Gavrielides | 56c | 124.3$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Matyas Fuele | 29c | 119.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.03 | 1,371 | 44.5%610 W · 761 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Matyas Fuele | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Matyas Fuele | 51c | 113.4$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.1 | 250 | 48.4%121 W · 129 L | +22.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Liam Gavrielides | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Matyas Fuele | 37c | 102.78$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 1,624 | 54.4%883 W · 741 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Liam Gavrielides | 55c | 100.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 252 | 49.2%124 W · 128 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Matyas Fuele | 50c | 100.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 42.9%96 W · 128 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7f…cdffbacked Matyas Fuele | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Matyas Fuele | 50c | 99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 96 | 60.4%58 W · 38 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Liam Gavrielides | 52c | 96.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 1,016 | 57.7%586 W · 430 L | -14.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Liam Gavrielides | 47c | 89.08$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2471…4523backed Matyas Fuele | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Liam Gavrielides | 51c | 78$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 845 | 48.3%408 W · 437 L | +34.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Liam Gavrielides | 50c | 76.5$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 1,545 | 51.5%795 W · 750 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Liam Gavrielides | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 303 | 55.8%169 W · 134 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Liam Gavrielides | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 930 | 55.9%520 W · 410 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Liam Gavrielides | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Liam Gavrielides | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Liam Gavrielides | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0c…a8d5backed Matyas Fuele | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Matyas Fuele | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 1,001 | 54.9%550 W · 451 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Matyas Fuele | 44c | 59.06$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40e9…494fbacked Matyas Fuele | 47c | 55.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 421 | 30.2%127 W · 294 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Matyas Fuele | 56c | 52.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.4 | 85 | 45.9%39 W · 46 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Liam Gavrielides | 51c | 46.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 2,404 | 51.7%1,244 W · 1,160 L | +12.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b6…9b2cbacked Matyas Fuele | 44c | 45.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…a265backed Liam Gavrielides | 54c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 2,238 | 52.1%1,165 W · 1,073 L | +80.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Matyas Fuele | 47c | 41.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Liam Gavrielides | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 279 | 43.4%121 W · 158 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Liam Gavrielides | 70c | 39.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Liam Gavrielides | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | +20.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Matyas Fuele | 53c | 38.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 443 | 65.9%292 W · 151 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Liam Gavrielides | 73c | 38.2$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Matyas Fuele | 38c | 37.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 2,079 | 44.4%923 W · 1,156 L | -52.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Liam Gavrielides | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -7.5wins | -0.30per pick | 58cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0b56…a082backed Liam Gavrielides | 52c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 418 | 63.9%267 W · 151 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Liam Gavrielides | 48c | 31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 250 | 42.4%106 W · 144 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Matyas Fuele | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Liam Gavrielides | 68c | 29.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Matyas Fuele | 49c | 27.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 7,100 | 49.7%3,530 W · 3,570 L | +107.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Matyas Fuele | 42c | 25.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Matyas Fuele | 43c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 2,442 | 35.8%874 W · 1,568 L | -29.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Liam Gavrielides | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28d8…be44backed Liam Gavrielides | 74c | 22.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Liam Gavrielides | 61c | 20.65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 397 | 47.9%190 W · 207 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Matyas Fuele | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 663 | 47.1%312 W · 351 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Matyas Fuele | 63c | 18.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.