Tennis · resolved market
Roehampton 2: Lui Maxted vs Anton Shepp
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a9f2e6c6c71e626fc98419f346a162c82664d0d16d2e26df34cef860f379dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lui Maxtedof Lui Maxted, Anton Shepp
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,504
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,504 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anton Shepp | 1c | 12,589$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.33 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c5b…ec01backed Anton Shepp | 27c | 1,502$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.45 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lui Maxted | 74c | 1,130$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.82 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Anton Shepp | 17c | 1,053$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Anton Shepp | 17c | 604.04$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Anton Shepp | 5c | 350$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 788 | 38.2%301 W · 487 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb347…5166backed Lui Maxted | 66c | 348.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.48 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Anton Shepp | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Anton Shepp | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anton Shepp | 33c | 191.37$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.15 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5bc…c93dbacked Lui Maxted | 67c | 170$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 65cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Lui Maxted | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anton Shepp | 32c | 154.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecc5…5fdebacked Anton Shepp | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 243 | 44%107 W · 136 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b04…403fbacked Anton Shepp | 27c | 120.11$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lui Maxted | 72c | 116.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.52 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Anton Shepp | 31c | 109.4$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.38 | 702 | 54.4%382 W · 320 L | +40.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Anton Shepp | 35c | 104.81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…c618backed Lui Maxted | 67c | 80.31$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 128 | 60.2%77 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Lui Maxted | 65c | 79.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Anton Shepp | 34c | 67.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Anton Shepp | 35c | 50.97$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Anton Shepp | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 891 | 34.3%306 W · 585 L | -40.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Anton Shepp | 35c | 48.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Lui Maxted | 65c | 48.88$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…1e9fbacked Anton Shepp | 27c | 45.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Lui Maxted | 78c | 43$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…251bbacked Lui Maxted | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Anton Shepp | 34c | 29.96$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa678…dd59backed Lui Maxted | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Anton Shepp | 35c | 28.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…cad2backed Lui Maxted | 66c | 25.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -13.7wins | -0.17per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Lui Maxted | 78c | 25.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.65 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2516…51edbacked Lui Maxted | 66c | 24.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.3 | 153 | 74.5%114 W · 39 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Lui Maxted | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Lui Maxted | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Lui Maxted | 70c | 16.11$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lui Maxted | 65c | 15.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.