Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group A - Canada vs. France
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5985100274924ea0dc463c8aa27671d91c9ca4b78f0782ab496092629e5641b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canadaof Canada, France
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $382,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $312,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $382,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xada5…db70backed France | 1c | 74,584$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.86 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked France | 0c | 46,741$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.7 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked France | 1c | 28,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ec…81c2backed France | 1c | 21,285$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.93 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0268…09f7backed France | 0c | 15,380$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.88 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8442…9df5backed France | 1c | 11,720$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -62%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9787…26b5backed France | 1c | 11,261$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…16a4backed France | 1c | 7,254$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed France | 0c | 6,529$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4556…54c1backed France | 1c | 6,254$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…d5b8backed France | 0c | 5,466$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…fc8cbacked France | 2c | 5,003$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed France | 1c | 5,000$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked France | 1c | 4,154$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74ad…77c6backed France | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed France | 1c | 3,312$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe201…6d5cbacked France | 1c | 3,120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b5…0da0backed France | 1c | 2,931$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed France | 1c | 2,343$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0f…ee42backed France | 1c | 2,047$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…a86bbacked France | 1c | 2,030$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed France | 1c | 2,025$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed France | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…3059backed France | 1c | 1,742$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked France | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4468…10afbacked France | 1c | 1,251$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76be…d5e1backed France | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed France | 1c | 1,225$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 9cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed France | 3c | 1,182$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.68 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 37cpaid | -82.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed France | 1c | 767.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb515…f345backed France | 3c | 625.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…eb7abacked France | 2c | 500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x575b…1825backed France | 4c | 283.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.