TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Charlotte 49ers vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tulsa Golden Hurricaneof Charlotte 49ers, Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$32,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,419

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,081 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Charlotte 49ers26c2,545$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.451,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Charlotte 49ers23c2,426$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.161,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Charlotte 49ers13c2,412$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.7337142.6%158 W · 213 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Charlotte 49ers17c1,974$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.622,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Charlotte 49ers17c1,134$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.663,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Charlotte 49ers11c1,056$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.022,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5c…a5debacked Charlotte 49ers13c723.77$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8510622.6%24 W · 82 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Charlotte 49ers11c615$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6581528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Charlotte 49ers30c501.63$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.133,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Charlotte 49ers12c372.79$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7325946.3%120 W · 139 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Charlotte 49ers18c361.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.142,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d54…4d13backed Charlotte 49ers29c340$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.63145.2%14 W · 17 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe29e…fa35backed Charlotte 49ers32c309.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006342.9%27 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Charlotte 49ers11c299.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.752,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Charlotte 49ers26c247.78$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1860%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Charlotte 49ers16c222.66$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.3371655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d5…6a7bbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c221.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.48812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick37cpaid-82.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7ff4…743dbacked Charlotte 49ers39c208.03$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.914451.4%74 W · 70 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane71c201.13$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.132254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Charlotte 49ers11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane69c182.26$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.2615055.3%83 W · 67 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane60c166.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.9440252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Charlotte 49ers12c162.92$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.894,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18aa…2287backed Charlotte 49ers30c151.87$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.561060%6 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Charlotte 49ers27c150.09$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.161,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecd5…7330backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane70c143.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.311353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Charlotte 49ers32c140.6$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.1470349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Charlotte 49ers14c132.13$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.211926.3%5 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Charlotte 49ers11c103.77$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4135243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Charlotte 49ers35c100$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3514151.1%72 W · 69 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Charlotte 49ers11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9938343.6%167 W · 216 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Charlotte 49ers32c89.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2920234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Charlotte 49ers11c88.28$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.187047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x13f0…25aebacked Charlotte 49ers13c80$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe33b…6de8backed Charlotte 49ers20c75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154930.6%15 W · 34 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa7a…899bbacked Charlotte 49ers15c71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.71127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane67c61.94$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1984854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x387c…f8d4backed Charlotte 49ers20c56.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-80.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane69c42.88$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.485,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8557…4e7abacked Charlotte 49ers29c42.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.363961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2874…1a77backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane62c28.85$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tulsa Golden Hurricane76c19.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.881,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.