TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Bundesliga · resolved market

Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-01-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,800
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,121

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,800 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No60c4,878$2,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,953.793,28442.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L-74.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No52c2,808$1,449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,358.991,68145.2%759 W · 922 L+6.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9346…ea03backed Yes48c2,427$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1655246.2%24 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e2…4e99backed Yes48c1,646$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7903246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2496…50a5backed Yes3c1,509$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8566…91c5backed Yes49c1,495$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$732.52450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+56.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29de…02aabacked Yes45c1,111$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No55c907.11$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.253645.9%246 W · 290 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5611…e5f4backed Yes45c706.25$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.883847.4%18 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No52c701.17$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.5556951.8%295 W · 274 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Yes39c637.79$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7417652.3%92 W · 84 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No74c606.81$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.452,53839.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L-8.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Yes35c596.66$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-50%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes48c596$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.085020%10 W · 40 L-5.4wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-54.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes51c590.3$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30017549.1%86 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35b9…1d44backed No50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505044%22 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No52c495.42$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.831145%140 W · 171 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No53c488.1$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.178248.8%382 W · 400 L-28.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes47c430.09$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.1433244.6%148 W · 184 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Yes24c400.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9616750.9%85 W · 82 L+9.6wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+2.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes5c384.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2148658.6%285 W · 201 L+44.5wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe33c…2bd1backed Yes47c341.77$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.631241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x33a7…960dbacked Yes30c330$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9911630.2%35 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14413851.4%71 W · 67 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Yes7c289.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204926.5%13 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006439.1%25 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No52c275$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1324630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+85.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No70c268.13$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4444655.4%247 W · 199 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7a2c…e7fdbacked Yes49c259.71$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No59c259.51$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.2953140.7%216 W · 315 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x48f3…1e1dbacked No51c255$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b2…34d0backed No51c250$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5998…f1b1backed Yes50c245$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No75c234.16$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.251,35550.9%690 W · 665 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f49…1befbacked Yes9c220$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eb8…753bbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003026.7%8 W · 22 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes48c207.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.644749.4%221 W · 226 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4476…7c48backed Yes48c207$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bc8…e067backed No53c205$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…265dbacked No50c205$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eb6…47fdbacked Yes50c204$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4634…a67fbacked Yes50c202$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x517c…3cd6backed No50c201$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc46c…a6d7backed No51c201$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.491100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1422…0187backed Yes49c201$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x750d…566bbacked Yes23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465250%26 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bcf…402abacked Yes8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169123.1%21 W · 70 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3c0…c158backed Yes50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9abe…106dbacked No53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$941100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb932…6ba1backed No51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9865…8a04backed Yes49c200$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949951.5%51 W · 48 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe318…25e5backed Yes48c198$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.512952.7%68 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e2…3296backed Yes17c148$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.05450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+12.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x33af…288abacked Yes31c126.98$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4027142.8%116 W · 155 L+18.5wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405955.9%33 W · 26 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf825…b9ffbacked Yes35c114.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402050%10 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e41…36f2backed Yes48c105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.45267.3%35 W · 17 L+5.7wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x120f…57c2backed Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05a0…379ebacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49850%4 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+74%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9eb…272dbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493464.7%22 W · 12 L+6.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+57.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51875%6 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+115.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0d3…5255backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…76e9backed No51c98.08$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.582850%14 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x92ae…a7b0backed No54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.591070%7 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.16per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf33…ab3ebacked Yes27c91.35$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x54e9…c178backed Yes18c84.13$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Yes48c83.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409937.4%37 W · 62 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d5f…7e6fbacked Yes45c77.78$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359345.2%42 W · 51 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b9…948abacked Yes46c74.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.263221.9%7 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.17per pick39cpaid-50.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2b2d…379dbacked Yes44c68.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305930.5%18 W · 41 L-5.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No79c66.22$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.131145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed No51c65$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.858253.7%44 W · 38 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdafd…807fbacked Yes51c64.71$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed No51c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.45556.4%31 W · 24 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Yes36c59.73$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.540%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x954b…c3dbbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019055.3%105 W · 85 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6f…c966backed Yes35c56.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202536%9 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+33%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9359…f2c1backed Yes48c56.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed0…1942backed Yes49c50.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2514539.3%57 W · 88 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255651.8%29 W · 27 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No53c47.46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.318852.3%46 W · 42 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f5b…1008backed Yes36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed No51c41.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1825850.4%130 W · 128 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No52c40.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5851136.8%188 W · 323 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x733e…c558backed Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7734…5ea2backed Yes35c34.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed No52c31.11$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9618746%86 W · 101 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd34d…63e5backed Yes49c30.75$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144344.2%19 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes50c28$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146050%30 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcaad…b5a9backed Yes46c24.5$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.272334.8%8 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-32%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed No59c19.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1414934.9%52 W · 97 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa15…95e3backed No51c19.59$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51573.3%11 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.27per pick47cpaid+99.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.