Middle East · resolved market
Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d19a9d86372b5d4215ec944be98ea17cf21b638ae569b54bbad909e16a5bacd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $884,835
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $984,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $884,835 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd262…8553backed Yes | 17c | 51,337$8,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,783.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d64…4073backed Yes | 13c | 36,141$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.38 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce68…f6b8backed Yes | 11c | 24,042$2,662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,662.25 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6763…de40backed Yes | 12c | 15,421$1,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,850.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…6bafbacked Yes | 16c | 12,520$2,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,037.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 3c | 12,342$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.65 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 13c | 12,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18f…294cbacked Yes | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91cd…0b6bbacked Yes | 22c | 9,705$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 10c | 8,926$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.44 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 10c | 8,005$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.38 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66c1…2c72backed Yes | 3c | 7,500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.5 | 291 | 29.9%87 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5e…835dbacked No | 75c | 5,670$4,252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…395bbacked Yes | 15c | 5,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 2c | 4,520$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.72 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…9862backed Yes | 15c | 4,500$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d3e…a677backed Yes | 4c | 4,369$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…c44bbacked Yes | 19c | 4,260$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb4…ae30backed Yes | 12c | 3,760$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2778…8547backed Yes | 17c | 3,496$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 8c | 3,359$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.73 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac8d…19e8backed Yes | 15c | 3,184$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded5…d9cabacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 76c | 2,824$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.68 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 11c | 2,804$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.92 | 421 | 20.9%88 W · 333 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 15c | 2,578$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.8 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…2bcdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7d5…7652backed Yes | 16c | 2,474$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52f…30fabacked Yes | 15c | 2,193$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.95 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a7b…03b0backed Yes | 5c | 2,096$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…6d9cbacked Yes | 14c | 2,043$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.76 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68c2…1711backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 312 | 41.7%130 W · 182 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 8c | 1,930$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,900$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.77 | 40 | 10%4 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b16…961fbacked Yes | 16c | 1,875$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022e…2a77backed Yes | 12c | 1,800$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 14c | 1,574$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.97 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 15c | 1,500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef7a…f2bcbacked Yes | 13c | 1,396$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 9c | 1,299$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.23 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e0…41d2backed Yes | 11c | 1,264$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5377…e6dabacked Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a46…5b84backed Yes | 12c | 1,250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a1…b34abacked Yes | 12c | 1,167$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d9…f923backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd8a…23debacked Yes | 3c | 1,008$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb4…179fbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 16c | 1,000$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31cc…b804backed Yes | 3c | 974.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 7c | 951.43$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd82e…7fc0backed Yes | 4c | 927.84$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 11c | 900$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 153 | 24.8%38 W · 115 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 76c | 900$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +67%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…1d05backed Yes | 13c | 890$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.25 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Yes | 14c | 861.7$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…04c9backed Yes | 14c | 860$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.4 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b11…3528backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…66e6backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd632…8afbbacked Yes | 15c | 829.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.39 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…7537backed Yes | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf277…0157backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…09f2backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4223…a1e8backed Yes | 13c | 758.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 15c | 720$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.8 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 8c | 710.55$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.84 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff6…72aebacked Yes | 7c | 704.7$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 11c | 700$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cac…6fa7backed Yes | 15c | 667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…b4f5backed Yes | 9c | 639.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe567…e4debacked Yes | 4c | 618.18$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 14c | 605.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.5 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | +10.2wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8f…35fbbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b74…778cbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 12cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x636f…2b89backed Yes | 3c | 540.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b1…7579backed Yes | 19c | 526.4$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ac…ad7fbacked Yes | 4c | 520.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +125.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea5…6bb9backed Yes | 13c | 515.89$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 9c | 505.4$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.7 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x641e…aeb7backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…00b6backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6606…1338backed Yes | 15c | 499.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 473.49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc968…f422backed Yes | 3c | 473.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd23…0242backed Yes | 21c | 472.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…a71dbacked Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf904…85ecbacked Yes | 13c | 442.95$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -48%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 18c | 442$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.3 | 242 | 34.3%83 W · 159 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d50…1baebacked Yes | 3c | 436.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae06…77e1backed Yes | 16c | 419.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.16 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6a…5d77backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a8…ab37backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 3c | 408$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…ae77backed Yes | 13c | 407$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.05 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 2.3%3 W · 130 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed Yes | 12c | 400$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa23…368bbacked Yes | 15c | 400$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed04…2c6cbacked Yes | 3c | 366$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe340…5666backed Yes | 14c | 356.25$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +133.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 20c | 352.92$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the US recognize Palestine in 2025?this page
- Will Austria recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Belgium recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Canada recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Finland recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will France recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
- Will Germany recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Italy recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will Japan recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will New Zealand recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine in 2025?No won
- Will the UK recognize Palestine in 2025?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.