Tennis · resolved market
ITF Olomouc: Laura Hietaranta vs Aneta Kucmova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d672a3b00fd6fb5dfda22c71af071c2ea5bc4f69417f7afb69d1b5990f6f8c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aneta Kucmovaof Laura Hietaranta, Aneta Kucmova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,029
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Laura Hietaranta | 60c | 5,050$3,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.56 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Aneta Kucmova | 31c | 3,629$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.11 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aneta Kucmova | 42c | 1,442$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.26 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Laura Hietaranta | 57c | 840.35$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Aneta Kucmova | 30c | 603$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.97 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Laura Hietaranta | 42c | 334.49$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.96 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Laura Hietaranta | 15c | 320.85$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.21 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Aneta Kucmova | 53c | 266.57$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.57 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Aneta Kucmova | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Laura Hietaranta | 78c | 160.85$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.46 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aneta Kucmova | 60c | 135.38$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Laura Hietaranta | 55c | 128.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Aneta Kucmova | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Laura Hietaranta | 32c | 102.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Laura Hietaranta | 48c | 98.03$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.05 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…0111backed Laura Hietaranta | 69c | 68$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Laura Hietaranta | 61c | 68$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 579 | 50.9%295 W · 284 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889d…d981backed Aneta Kucmova | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Aneta Kucmova | 29c | 66.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 434 | 44.9%195 W · 239 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Aneta Kucmova | 55c | 56.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Aneta Kucmova | 35c | 54.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Aneta Kucmova | 67c | 53.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.54 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663e…9cf0backed Aneta Kucmova | 30c | 53.38$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 252 | 37.3%94 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Aneta Kucmova | 45c | 50.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.31 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Laura Hietaranta | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 71 | 36.6%26 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Aneta Kucmova | 78c | 48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Laura Hietaranta | 32c | 46.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6843…79b2backed Laura Hietaranta | 43c | 46.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Aneta Kucmova | 38c | 26.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Aneta Kucmova | 43c | 25.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bf…24b9backed Laura Hietaranta | 48c | 23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 132 | 76.5%101 W · 31 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Laura Hietaranta | 48c | 21.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Aneta Kucmova | 52c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Laura Hietaranta | 72c | 14.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.