Cricket · resolved market
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Hong Kong, China vs Tanzania
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd36f47925866821d00b3ecd7985329f87c407aa7f80d4256c61de6265b53bde5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hong Kong, Chinaof Hong Kong, China, Tanzania
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,540
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Tanzania | 31c | 1,250$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.21 | 682 | 31.2%213 W · 469 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82e5…7e2fbacked Hong Kong, China | 76c | 873.28$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.13 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tanzania | 45c | 834.72$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.08 | 396 | 44.2%175 W · 221 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…3e2dbacked Tanzania | 28c | 724.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.48 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…30a5backed Hong Kong, China | 65c | 720.17$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.8 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Tanzania | 31c | 609.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.36 | 461 | 47.7%220 W · 241 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tanzania | 26c | 563.6$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.86 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Tanzania | 34c | 488.25$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.32 | 138 | 18.1%25 W · 113 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Hong Kong, China | 64c | 473.05$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.05 | 108 | 69.4%75 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Hong Kong, China | 71c | 448.21$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Tanzania | 31c | 337.44$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.67 | 380 | 48.2%183 W · 197 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Tanzania | 34c | 284.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.63 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9303…731abacked Hong Kong, China | 65c | 281.99$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +109.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed17…6498backed Hong Kong, China | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2045…c77cbacked Hong Kong, China | 61c | 199.7$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 67cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a4…99d0backed Hong Kong, China | 57c | 175.5$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Tanzania | 25c | 167.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd294…7065backed Hong Kong, China | 60c | 165.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.96 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7201…00a4backed Hong Kong, China | 70c | 146.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.87 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b45fbacked Tanzania | 19c | 118.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked Hong Kong, China | 58c | 117.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…ceecbacked Hong Kong, China | 70c | 113.18$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Hong Kong, China | 69c | 110.93$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.29 | 262 | 48.1%126 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…c78bbacked Hong Kong, China | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d30…363cbacked Tanzania | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Hong Kong, China | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.2 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251e…b4cebacked Hong Kong, China | 78c | 95.57$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…0815backed Tanzania | 16c | 95.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…c19bbacked Hong Kong, China | 79c | 90.91$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Hong Kong, China | 65c | 86.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Hong Kong, China | 77c | 85.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Tanzania | 30c | 79.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 496 | 47%233 W · 263 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Hong Kong, China | 77c | 75.35$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Tanzania | 17c | 64.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 196 | 57.7%113 W · 83 L | +18.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…cb5bbacked Hong Kong, China | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Hong Kong, China | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa158…acacbacked Hong Kong, China | 69c | 59.62$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Hong Kong, China | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Tanzania | 54c | 53.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.18 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Tanzania | 35c | 50.17$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Hong Kong, China | 68c | 49.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ca…70d3backed Hong Kong, China | 65c | 46.01$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x31bf…0082backed Tanzania | 34c | 45.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 288 | 30.2%87 W · 201 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Tanzania | 34c | 45.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a17…d8fabacked Hong Kong, China | 67c | 43.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…cc7bbacked Hong Kong, China | 67c | 43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 47 | 80.9%38 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 64cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbbca…6beabacked Hong Kong, China | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 68cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8d…be34backed Tanzania | 30c | 42.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…8983backed Hong Kong, China | 73c | 41.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…a2d2backed Hong Kong, China | 55c | 41.24$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 99 | 64.6%64 W · 35 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Tanzania | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee4…3c59backed Tanzania | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Hong Kong, China | 40c | 38.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +5.4wins | +0.45per pick | 39cpaid | +128.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Tanzania | 31c | 32.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f88…0111backed Hong Kong, China | 70c | 32.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81c…970abacked Hong Kong, China | 76c | 30.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b3…1fd0backed Hong Kong, China | 60c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e48…e8e6backed Hong Kong, China | 74c | 29.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…7665backed Hong Kong, China | 75c | 26.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…fdfcbacked Hong Kong, China | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb6…a79fbacked Hong Kong, China | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3b…4a04backed Hong Kong, China | 69c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.82 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034c…5f17backed Hong Kong, China | 57c | 19.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Hong Kong, China | 64c | 15.72$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.69 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Hong Kong, China | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.