Olympics · resolved market
Men's Group A - France vs. Czechia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd696498e155fb7ee6d09fac3135c6c606d585227b33bab6c365ee7f878384b33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Czechiaof France, Czechia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $331,945
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked France | 5c | 35,301$1,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,856.73 | 43 | 25.6%11 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed France | 7c | 21,429$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed France | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.99 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed France | 5c | 18,888$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.4 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked France | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked France | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked France | 24c | 9,895$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,413.03 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed France | 5c | 7,976$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.78 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked France | 6c | 7,014$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed France | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 28cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…23afbacked France | 7c | 3,246$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed France | 7c | 3,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed France | 7c | 2,329$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed France | 22c | 1,849$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked France | 6c | 1,838$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked France | 6c | 1,783$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.1 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked France | 7c | 1,679$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…1164backed France | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed France | 2c | 1,608$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked France | 2c | 1,546$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked France | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked France | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked France | 2c | 1,100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked France | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d58…1aeabacked France | 18c | 967.71$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.19 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1b…aa6cbacked France | 6c | 966.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed France | 6c | 840$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed France | 16c | 798.86$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked France | 2c | 656.22$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…811ebacked France | 18c | 653.76$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa65…f79bbacked France | 29c | 582.29$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3931…beb7backed France | 4c | 555$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f34…d0f1backed France | 7c | 548.93$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed France | 6c | 502.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked France | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a19…3f5dbacked France | 5c | 477.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked France | 9c | 443.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.69 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…a368backed France | 7c | 360$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…6711backed Czechia | 72c | 357.38$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be7…9ea6backed France | 4c | 355.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4095…1675backed France | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed France | 31c | 324$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.86 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed France | 12c | 307.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed France | 33c | 304.88$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be0…bee3backed France | 5c | 300.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Czechia | 69c | 290.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ec…5a3dbacked France | 7c | 290$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…13ffbacked Czechia | 77c | 259.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca5…b91cbacked France | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Czechia | 66c | 248.93$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.33 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed France | 7c | 239.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked France | 10c | 236.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed France | 5c | 224.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked France | 30c | 224$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc86e…6d9bbacked France | 8c | 215.52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6671…373dbacked France | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41da…0b58backed France | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -55%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed France | 26c | 189.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed France | 7c | 178.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed France | 31c | 176.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Czechia | 69c | 165.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.26 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c0…eb7abacked France | 7c | 162.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Czechia | 69c | 145.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe737…64c1backed Czechia | 72c | 137.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Czechia | 75c | 133.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed France | 15c | 120.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.21per pick | 42cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdf…b929backed France | 17c | 119.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…af03backed Czechia | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked France | 33c | 93.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.83 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked France | 28c | 70.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea1d…9984backed Czechia | 75c | 63.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed France | 20c | 62.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…da2abacked Czechia | 69c | 59$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked France | 20c | 58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 44cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0504…9d2fbacked Czechia | 68c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb7…3daabacked Czechia | 71c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x69a2…00f7backed Czechia | 77c | 22.08$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dbe…59f6backed Czechia | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 32cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…67f7backed Czechia | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc107…d433backed Czechia | 70c | 14.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.