NHL · resolved market
KHL: Metallurg Magnitogorsk vs. Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1678b6c1dd81b3f1b0936906acf73ad8bde52c57d89966577d7d969c4324a4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metallurg Magnitogorskof Metallurg Magnitogorsk, Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,511 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 465.78$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.49 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 37c | 227.39$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.33 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 146.03$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 35c | 145.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.54 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 38c | 138$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.44 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 40c | 136.49$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 40c | 136$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.73 | 115 | 33.9%39 W · 76 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 37c | 81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 550 | 48.2%265 W · 285 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 38c | 75.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 65c | 69.97$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 60c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 37c | 67.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 288 | 47.2%136 W · 152 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 61c | 58.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 38c | 54$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 56 | 71.4%40 W · 16 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff7…d3c9backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 69c | 45.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.33 | 155 | 60%93 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 28c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…5403backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 139 | 54%75 W · 64 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 64c | 34.07$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd7…db07backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 242 | 59.1%143 W · 99 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe77…0eefbacked Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 63c | 31.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Metallurg Magnitogorsk | 62c | 30.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 66c | 30.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1767…964ebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.