Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: VCU Rams (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ad1eb3e0053376c07dc31e1905db692e80ce754e3c785a291c4ccb193b6377a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- VCU Ramsof VCU Rams, Dayton Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked VCU Rams | 46c | 7,537$3,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,099.96 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Dayton Flyers | 55c | 7,216$3,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 5,855$3,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,161.58 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked VCU Rams | 46c | 3,292$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.98 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked VCU Rams | 48c | 1,036$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.98 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed VCU Rams | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked VCU Rams | 46c | 896.27$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 884.84$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.82 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked VCU Rams | 60c | 421.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.02 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked VCU Rams | 46c | 396.52$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.12 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Dayton Flyers | 55c | 363.79$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.01 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed VCU Rams | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 264.97$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.08 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +9.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 258.1$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.63 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed VCU Rams | 46c | 238.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Dayton Flyers | 46c | 231.3$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.4 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…e1a5backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 212.07$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked VCU Rams | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.78 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83c5…c3ffbacked VCU Rams | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed VCU Rams | 46c | 187$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.98 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 183.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Dayton Flyers | 55c | 180.83$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked VCU Rams | 45c | 145.59$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.07 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 140.86$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.07 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 140.52$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.88 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked VCU Rams | 47c | 134.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.36 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dayton Flyers | 50c | 113.85$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 113.63$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Dayton Flyers | 44c | 108.84$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed VCU Rams | 46c | 108.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.52 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked VCU Rams | 46c | 106.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…2687backed VCU Rams | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed VCU Rams | 48c | 85.96$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.91 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed VCU Rams | 46c | 83.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.24 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed VCU Rams | 46c | 71.34$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.53 | 193 | 48.7%94 W · 99 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed VCU Rams | 46c | 69.37$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed VCU Rams | 46c | 64.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.07 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked VCU Rams | 47c | 59.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.52 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 58.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.62 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed VCU Rams | 46c | 44.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee3…bf37backed Dayton Flyers | 51c | 42.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Dayton Flyers | 51c | 38.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 306 | 52%159 W · 147 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe748…bc49backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 37.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Dayton Flyers | 54c | 36.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked VCU Rams | 46c | 36.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed VCU Rams | 46c | 35.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…fecfbacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 29.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93e…96eabacked Dayton Flyers | 54c | 29.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…31e7backed Dayton Flyers | 55c | 28.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: VCU Rams (-3.5)this page
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU RamsVCU Rams won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 134.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 136.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 137.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 138.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 139.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 140.5Under won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-11.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-12.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-2.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-5.5)VCU Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.