Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc42a9bf8f016fb3361fc236efa9591fd80cfa3586108f30dbe3080f78815ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,155
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,155 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 2c | 2,876$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.25 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 809.8$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 40c | 612.45$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.98 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b2…6d68backed Under | 54c | 594.78$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b8…6231backed Under | 54c | 549.18$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…5ea2backed Under | 54c | 541.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 60c | 515.64$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.26 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 56c | 485.27$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.52 | 394 | 54.6%215 W · 179 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 273.01$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.41 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 240.19$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.59 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641a…e1a5backed Over | 45c | 188.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.77 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 44c | 172.5$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.9 | 314 | 48.7%153 W · 161 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 16c | 115.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 61c | 94.39$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 57c | 79.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Over | 46c | 32.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 52c | 28.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Under | 51c | 28.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…acfebacked Under | 56c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 140.5this page
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU RamsVCU Rams won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 134.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 136.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 137.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 138.5Under won
- Dayton Flyers vs. VCU Rams: O/U 139.5Under won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-11.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-12.5)Dayton Flyers won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-2.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-3.5)VCU Rams won
- Spread: VCU Rams (-5.5)VCU Rams won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.