South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6a5e1ad5cc81532da954fb94c52ba261bb3012a427fe444f63a77581c03ef44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,642
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,430
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,642 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,977$1,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.49 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 1,550$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.78 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 59c | 565.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.28 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 41c | 529.03$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 22c | 421$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 175 | 42.3%74 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Yes | 14c | 335.71$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Yes | 42c | 260$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.2 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -7.8wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 10c | 220.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 42c | 199.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 40c | 195$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.13 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 40c | 185$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 79c | 163.9$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 59c | 162.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 398 | 53%211 W · 187 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd364…2778backed Yes | 37c | 161.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 160$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 146.07$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.15 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 33c | 140$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 68c | 132.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.35 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 23c | 124.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1253…7e78backed Yes | 43c | 116.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 106$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Yes | 20c | 77.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 17c | 74.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d93…fa80backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 42c | 64.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…d6c0backed Yes | 40c | 61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 57.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 30c | 39.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed No | 61c | 32.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed No | 60c | 31.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 72c | 29.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed No | 76c | 26.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe541…6e09backed Yes | 40c | 26.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…8e4dbacked Yes | 42c | 25.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 62c | 19.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 212 | 66.5%141 W · 71 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3b…52f7backed No | 60c | 17.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?Yes won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.