South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa173d1bc41668bc8e55ac2548bf4dfdb7c31c9741a00f358724dbb793389d216
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,919
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,708
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,919 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 4,045$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.65 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 26c | 3,059$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.33 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 65c | 2,128$1,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.13 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…f5f6backed Yes | 61c | 1,913$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Yes | 26c | 1,654$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 17c | 977$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.65 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 56c | 400.14$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.84 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0f…a571backed Yes | 11c | 400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 50c | 356.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 332.86$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.76 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 74c | 215.83$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 52c | 199.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 70c | 190.06$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 22c | 177.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 164.26$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.09 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 150.52$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.45 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…8975backed Yes | 17c | 147.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 39c | 138$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.56 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 65c | 135.47$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.96 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 74c | 120.99$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.46 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 13c | 107$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +121.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…9815backed Yes | 53c | 106.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.49 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9de0…dacebacked No | 11c | 92.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 79.48$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed No | 50c | 78.74$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 67.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…d1bbbacked No | 41c | 36.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 33c | 33.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…547ebacked No | 48c | 30.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…a476backed Yes | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Yes | 57c | 29.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.55 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92af…8b55backed No | 75c | 16.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed No | 75c | 14.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.71 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-02-13?No won
- Will CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.