Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3602a003324e2e4fd995c5c75370cb028855443ce981ba60f82631ae805f94ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Bulldogsof Georgia Bulldogs, Texas Longhorns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,673
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,673 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 7,998$4,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,035.21 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 5,042$2,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.34 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,470 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 2,927$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.2 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 1,855$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.66 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Texas Longhorns | 48c | 1,167$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.3 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 1,038$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.88 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.71 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Texas Longhorns | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8461…c6e4backed Georgia Bulldogs | 54c | 642.51$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.56 | 182 | 45.1%82 W · 100 L | -15.9wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Texas Longhorns | 50c | 594.75$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgia Bulldogs | 54c | 325.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.28 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 237.9$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 202.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.17 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 177.27$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Texas Longhorns | 47c | 137.74$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.74 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…e4bebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 53c | 136.54$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.17 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Texas Longhorns | 51c | 128.98$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.72 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 118.95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.29 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 100.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.2 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 99.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.89 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Texas Longhorns | 49c | 97.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ea…c2efbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 230 | 54.3%125 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Georgia Bulldogs | 54c | 73.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.9 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Texas Longhorns | 34c | 44.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 29.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 24.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Longhorns | 44c | 22.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f5…ce27backed Texas Longhorns | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Georgia Bulldogs | 69c | 17.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)this page
- Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia BulldogsGeorgia Bulldogs won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 162.5Over won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 163.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.