Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 163.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12b84bd529d3aa2debac17652adf29cd36a053043c1382af3e189f442ddce8d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $83,820
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Under | 50c | 63,049$31,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,633.45 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Over | 50c | 44,940$22,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,470 | 302 | 49.3%149 W · 153 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 50c | 7,741$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,879.99 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 3,000$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.34 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 49c | 2,200$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 2,153$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.7 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 50c | 1,487$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.44 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 1,359$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.18 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Under | 48c | 268.47$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.86 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 48c | 257.73$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 48c | 128.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 204 | 52.9%108 W · 96 L | +11.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Over | 53c | 95.94$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 50c | 47.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.69 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc285…e28fbacked Over | 52c | 28.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Under | 52c | 26.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 163.5this page
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)Georgia Bulldogs won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia BulldogsGeorgia Bulldogs won
- Texas Longhorns vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 162.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.