Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x13a8d4ff3cebb3502bb323b01b78de856cbc5e73a75988b8d7d606a7a1b77fc5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otakar Esportsof Otakar Esports, NOVO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,744
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,174
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,744 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x374b…20ccbacked NOVO Esports | 0c | 13,295$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked NOVO Esports | 33c | 4,494$1,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,487.95 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Otakar Esports | 56c | 3,930$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.17 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked Otakar Esports | 29c | 1,921$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.74 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +5.4wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +68.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NOVO Esports | 67c | 981.1$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.87 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked NOVO Esports | 41c | 519$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.06 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Otakar Esports | 29c | 503.48$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb0…9a6cbacked NOVO Esports | 32c | 473.05$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.52 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed NOVO Esports | 30c | 448.74$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.72 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NOVO Esports | 37c | 428$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.54 | 779 | 29.5%230 W · 549 L | -72.4wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -39%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked NOVO Esports | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Otakar Esports | 29c | 337.56$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.17 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked NOVO Esports | 66c | 332.97$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.76 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…1c3bbacked NOVO Esports | 64c | 299.2$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.93 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked NOVO Esports | 73c | 290.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NOVO Esports | 31c | 281$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.92 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd425…603ebacked Otakar Esports | 19c | 277.77$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.99 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +134.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…faa2backed Otakar Esports | 37c | 214.75$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked NOVO Esports | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked NOVO Esports | 48c | 180.83$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Otakar Esports | 53c | 163.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.78 | 176 | 54.5%96 W · 80 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2818…04a2backed NOVO Esports | 70c | 142.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed NOVO Esports | 74c | 135.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 69cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Otakar Esports | 58c | 133$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.37 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Otakar Esports | 26c | 117.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.85 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Otakar Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Otakar Esports | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked Otakar Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Otakar Esports | 27c | 95$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NOVO Esports | 51c | 91.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.07 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…8ef9backed Otakar Esports | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed NOVO Esports | 37c | 77.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Otakar Esports | 34c | 62.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed NOVO Esports | 70c | 62$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…81abbacked NOVO Esports | 71c | 62$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Otakar Esports | 28c | 53.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.55 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Otakar Esports | 34c | 52.94$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.94 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked NOVO Esports | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed NOVO Esports | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Otakar Esports | 27c | 46.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed NOVO Esports | 66c | 45.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…f6dfbacked Otakar Esports | 27c | 41.07$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed NOVO Esports | 45c | 38.63$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc03d…07e1backed Otakar Esports | 27c | 38.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed NOVO Esports | 36c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed NOVO Esports | 45c | 32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked NOVO Esports | 71c | 30.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Otakar Esports | 40c | 29.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.56 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc451…1ff6backed NOVO Esports | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed NOVO Esports | 77c | 27.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…aa37backed NOVO Esports | 53c | 25.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34c5…db89backed NOVO Esports | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked NOVO Esports | 56c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18c…63dabacked NOVO Esports | 77c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NOVO Esports | 80c | 12.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group Bthis page
- Map Handicap: NOVO (-1.5) vs Otakar Esports (+1.5)Otakar Esports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 1 WinnerNOVO Esports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 WinnerOtakar Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.