Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5ff1553ba27c2ea066c460af33bc49bc48ea4549166be4997af6082c4858044
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Otakar Esportsof Otakar Esports, NOVO Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,342
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,342 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x084b…3de6backed NOVO Esports | 59c | 484.07$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.2 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NOVO Esports | 32c | 313$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked NOVO Esports | 7c | 309.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -61%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed Otakar Esports | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed NOVO Esports | 48c | 177.6$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.68 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Otakar Esports | 78c | 156.77$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Otakar Esports | 41c | 123.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Otakar Esports | 36c | 72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 664 | 38.1%253 W · 411 L | -31.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Otakar Esports | 46c | 51.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Otakar Esports | 51c | 51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f1…b6d8backed NOVO Esports | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 61.6%90 W · 56 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Otakar Esports | 34c | 44.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Otakar Esports | 39c | 42.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed Otakar Esports | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Map Handicap: NOVO (-1.5) vs Otakar Esports (+1.5)Otakar Esports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports (BO3) - VCL Spain: Rising Group BOtakar Esports won
- Valorant: Otakar Esports vs NOVO Esports - Map 1 WinnerNOVO Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.