NHL · resolved market
KHL: Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg vs. CSKA Moscow
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed925ea8f22daa902bb39256b14dd943420cb9795c17505a5571620b0d447cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CSKA Moscowof Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg, CSKA Moscow
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b1…f737backed CSKA Moscow | 50c | 5,945$2,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.45 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 3,229$1,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.5 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 1,617$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.51 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 54c | 959.59$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.18 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed CSKA Moscow | 50c | 520.24$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.12 | 118 | 33.1%39 W · 79 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 512.68$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.85 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…6592backed CSKA Moscow | 46c | 468.49$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.98 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 49c | 369.44$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.77 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 266$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.32 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSKA Moscow | 48c | 260.42$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.92 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 229$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.39 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 51c | 209.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 148.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 49c | 141.25$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.21 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44dc…2ddbbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 133.16$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 179 | 40.2%72 W · 107 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed CSKA Moscow | 49c | 118.57$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 105$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15c5…4692backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 91.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed CSKA Moscow | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CSKA Moscow | 49c | 80.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.98 | 497 | 47.9%238 W · 259 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 51c | 67.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 54c | 66.46$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed CSKA Moscow | 47c | 44.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked CSKA Moscow | 55c | 41.64$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked CSKA Moscow | 48c | 39.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed CSKA Moscow | 65c | 34.84$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 30.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 53c | 29.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 50c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Avtomobilist Yekaterinburg | 52c | 21.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 425 | 58.6%249 W · 176 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed CSKA Moscow | 48c | 20.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.