South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b99b2658cd47e3b22569aa3272b06b409c6cc016cf2237ddc8196c0aec595df
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,138
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 8,430$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,023.14 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 24c | 4,302$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,027.21 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 77c | 3,940$3,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.56 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 3,126$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.36 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 1,450$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.4 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 1,397$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 75c | 1,333$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 76c | 957$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.73 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 76c | 912.4$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 77c | 708.41$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 77c | 604.35$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 76c | 397.79$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.47 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9a…7ef9backed Yes | 24c | 312.54$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 75c | 304$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked No | 76c | 284.29$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.23 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.34per pick | 56cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 160$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 105.65$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.45 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 28c | 87.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed Yes | 23c | 70.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 20c | 68.25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 23c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 21c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 76c | 39.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 76c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 74c | 15.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 75c | 15.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.