South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1443e3b02f69fd80d1d022a5f34dc3c339bc549ed05110c2f764595f736caa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,490
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,490 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 8c | 4,165$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 24c | 3,320$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.1 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 49c | 2,487$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,265.85 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 80c | 2,178$1,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.65 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 51c | 1,630$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.25 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 9c | 1,605$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 8c | 1,118$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 6c | 805.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 140 | 22.1%31 W · 109 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 49c | 581.08$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.35 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 517.63$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.58 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 5c | 499.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 51c | 444.12$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Yes | 41c | 363.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.41 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 46c | 327.2$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.2 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 51c | 156$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Yes | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 114.11$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.07 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 49c | 105.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 52c | 101.26$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 42c | 75.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +25%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42da…304cbacked Yes | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 49c | 63.27$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce6…de1fbacked No | 23c | 55.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 48c | 45.29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 49c | 44.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.9 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 68c | 30.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.63 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 50c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.