Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FUSION vs Fuego (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfda6f11977689b842071c022fd14532922541e20c384ebe56acc1da8e2497bd4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fuegoof FUSION, Fuego
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,735 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked FUSION | 26c | 5,314$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.56 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FUSION | 31c | 2,116$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.86 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Fuego | 70c | 1,566$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.22 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Fuego | 80c | 1,431$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.29 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Fuego | 69c | 1,086$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.29 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…2d26backed FUSION | 27c | 774.84$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fuego | 70c | 646$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.8 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Fuego | 66c | 573.57$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.79 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22d2…82d7backed Fuego | 68c | 400$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed FUSION | 32c | 306.14$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Fuego | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked FUSION | 24c | 253.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Fuego | 73c | 232$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 415 | 37.1%154 W · 261 L | -26.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Fuego | 68c | 215$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.8 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Fuego | 68c | 194$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Fuego | 68c | 165$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fuego | 69c | 158.18$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Fuego | 66c | 154.55$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c3…16ccbacked FUSION | 33c | 151.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked FUSION | 26c | 129.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 604 | 54%326 W · 278 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Fuego | 68c | 125$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Fuego | 67c | 113$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.29 | 231 | 46.8%108 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed FUSION | 32c | 107.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed FUSION | 31c | 104$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Fuego | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked FUSION | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.7 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…8128backed FUSION | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0122…f1aabacked Fuego | 66c | 82.43$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Fuego | 65c | 81.54$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Fuego | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed FUSION | 35c | 69.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.28 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed Fuego | 68c | 59.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked FUSION | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Fuego | 68c | 40.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 202 | 48.5%98 W · 104 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked Fuego | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 630 | 56.3%355 W · 275 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0caa…b2bdbacked Fuego | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 149 | 59.7%89 W · 60 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Fuego | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 177 | 57.1%101 W · 76 L | +15.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FUSION vs Fuego (BO3) - VCL Latin America North Group Stagethis page
- Valorant: FUSION vs Fuego - Map 1 WinnerFuego won
- Valorant: FUSION vs Fuego - Map 2 WinnerFuego won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.