CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e5930d1eebd033ddc1787a28fd503aae9904e97b11635589e851249b738585e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof HEROIC Academy, CSDIILIT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,737 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked CSDIILIT | 57c | 1,624$931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930.69 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CSDIILIT | 49c | 1,017$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.07 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed HEROIC Academy | 40c | 586.81$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.45 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed CSDIILIT | 47c | 533$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.51 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed HEROIC Academy | 49c | 285.83$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.99 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed CSDIILIT | 5c | 230.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0d…9a6ebacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 210$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +6.3wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed CSDIILIT | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed HEROIC Academy | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +9.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed HEROIC Academy | 52c | 159.07$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed CSDIILIT | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed HEROIC Academy | 44c | 106.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.68 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed HEROIC Academy | 52c | 105.9$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.29per pick | 48cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked HEROIC Academy | 53c | 105$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.35 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 339 | 39.2%133 W · 206 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked HEROIC Academy | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked HEROIC Academy | 54c | 78.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.31 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…e40ebacked HEROIC Academy | 40c | 77.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked HEROIC Academy | 42c | 76.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HEROIC Academy | 42c | 75.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked CSDIILIT | 27c | 61.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked HEROIC Academy | 50c | 55.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 52.58$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 49.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked HEROIC Academy | 49c | 41.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 350 | 43.1%151 W · 199 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed HEROIC Academy | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed CSDIILIT | 49c | 29.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked HEROIC Academy | 40c | 27.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.42 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6656…433dbacked HEROIC Academy | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed HEROIC Academy | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked HEROIC Academy | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs CSDIILIT (BO3) - BC Game Masters Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs CSDIILIT - Map 1 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
- Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs CSDIILIT - Map 2 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.