CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2adc04bdfce1f0bf45eb4042a4ba1ddbf96569368d58aa6d5b4a4c1cf5dafde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNO MILLEof FOLHA AMARELA, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,384 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 74c | 3,195$2,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360.86 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UNO MILLE | 27c | 509.92$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.88 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed UNO MILLE | 26c | 499.58$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.69 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed UNO MILLE | 33c | 364.47$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.47 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked UNO MILLE | 23c | 319.38$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.92 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc093…de0ebacked UNO MILLE | 26c | 284.77$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.73 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed UNO MILLE | 53c | 282.59$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FOLHA AMARELA | 29c | 258.87$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.11 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked UNO MILLE | 27c | 216.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe2…e4d2backed UNO MILLE | 26c | 200$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed UNO MILLE | 26c | 187.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.66 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed UNO MILLE | 28c | 182.91$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.28 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked UNO MILLE | 32c | 182$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 97 | 39.2%38 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed FOLHA AMARELA | 26c | 131.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked UNO MILLE | 32c | 128$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 63c | 106.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.82 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed UNO MILLE | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked UNO MILLE | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked FOLHA AMARELA | 66c | 98.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.71 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4c…55b5backed UNO MILLE | 67c | 97.5$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed FOLHA AMARELA | 73c | 82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed FOLHA AMARELA | 37c | 52.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 54 | 27.8%15 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed UNO MILLE | 25c | 50.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked UNO MILLE | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37d7…f131backed UNO MILLE | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 334 | 51.5%172 W · 162 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FOLHA AMARELA | 70c | 36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed UNO MILLE | 63c | 34.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked UNO MILLE | 50c | 33.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +9.9wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked UNO MILLE | 54c | 32.64$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked FOLHA AMARELA | 68c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Counter-Strike: FOLHA AMARELA vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 WinnerUNO MILLE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.