Champions League · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf16376510be6c43a882ddb17f5992aa1a9b36b4470577f5272fd3a96bb64919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,874
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 42c | 2,500$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.2 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63ad…790cbacked No | 57c | 1,640$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec0…aeb9backed No | 61c | 821$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.28 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 38c | 399$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed No | 62c | 382.71$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -68%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 66c | 347.77$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.24 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 62c | 340.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.3 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 270.52$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.95 | 1,994 | 43.9%875 W · 1,119 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…1867backed Yes | 34c | 174.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 28.8%17 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Yes | 34c | 148.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…021dbacked Yes | 35c | 145.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 45cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa446…d9c6backed No | 59c | 140.24$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 66c | 112.91$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb520…6e24backed Yes | 27c | 109.79$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 65c | 91.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x345d…4e41backed No | 67c | 90.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 65c | 78.75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 260 | 47.7%124 W · 136 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0e…abd1backed Yes | 35c | 71.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 344 | 49.7%171 W · 173 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2968…20c8backed Yes | 34c | 41.18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 62c | 36.85$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed No | 66c | 35.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 41c | 35.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a90…2ff9backed Yes | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161f…d3f4backed No | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 39c | 31.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 257 | 35%90 W · 167 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 74c | 22.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.82 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed No | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 66c | 20.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 150 | 38.7%58 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked No | 67c | 17.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 44cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- Newcastle United FC leading at halftime?No won
- Newcastle United FC vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.